United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
October Crop Production
Executive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
USDA-NASS
Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops
Corn Citrus Dry Beans
Soybeans Pecans Tobacco
Cotton Sugarbeets
Rice Sugarcane
Peanuts Sorghum Alfalfa Hay
Other Hay Canola Sunflowers Spring Potatoes
Contents
Tree Inventory
Limb Count
Objective Surveys (Size and
Drop) Survey Type Field
Observations
Field Observations
Field Observations
Crops Included All All All
Sample Size 269,200 Acres 3,358 Groves 1,971 Groves Collection
Period
July 1, 2016 – June 23, 2017
July 10 – September 7
September 12 - 22
Survey Overview
Florida Citrus
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Production
Oranges Mil Tons 4.34 NA -16.0
Grapefruit Thou Tons 588 NA -13.8
Lemons Thou Tons 904 NA +2.0
Tangerines &
Mandarins Thou Tons 968 NA -6.3
13.7
9.82 13.0
12.2 12.4 11.5
12.9
9.25 9.02
7.63 10.1
9.13 8.24
8.91 8.98 8.27
6.77
6.35 6.09
5.16 4.34
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Tons
Orange Production
United States
USDA-NASS
Ag Yield Objective Yield
Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement
Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans
Sample Size 11,286 4,952
Collection Period Sept 29 – Oct 5 Sept 23 – Oct 1
Survey Overview
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Estimate Season
Planted Area
Corn Mil Ac 90.4 -0.5 -3.8
Soybeans Mil Ac 90.2 +0.8 +8.1
Sorghum Mil Ac 5.71 -4.6 -14.7
Sunflowers Mil Ac 1.40 +11.0 -12.0
Canola Mil Ac 2.08 -3.9 +21.1
Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 2.11 +1.1 +27.0
Sugarbeets Mil Ac 1.14 +0.6 -2.2
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Corn
Harvested Mil Ac 83.1 -0.5 -4.2
Yield Bu/Ac 171.8 +1.1 -1.6
Production Bil Bu 14.3 +0.7 -5.7
9.21
9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50 8.97
10.1 11.8
11.1 10.5
13.0 12.0
13.1
12.4 12.3
10.8 13.8
14.2 13.6 15.1
14.3
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Billion Bushels
Corn for Grain Production
United States
USDA-NASS
2004
2005 2006 2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
2016 Aug-17
Sept-17 Oct-17
0.260 0.270 0.280 0.290 0.300 0.310 0.320 0.330 0.340 0.350 0.360 0.370
25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500 Lbs/Ear
Ears Per Acre
Corn Objective Yield Region
Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight
Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears
USDA-NASS
Year Dent Stage Mature
Percent
2013 NA NA
2014 39 53
2015 16 70
2016 17 73
2017 41 51
Corn Objective Yield - October
Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Soybeans
Harvested Mil Ac 89.5 +0.8 +8.2
Yield Bu/Ac 49.5 -0.8 -4.8
Production Bil Bu 4.43 -<0.1 +3.1
2.69 2.74
2.65 2.76 2.89
2.76 2.45
3.12 3.07 3.20
2.68 2.97
3.36 3.33
3.10 3.04 3.36
3.93 3.93 4.30
4.43
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Billion Bushels
Soybean Production
United States
USDA-NASS
2004 2005 2006
2008 2007
2009
2011 2010 2012
2013 2014
2015
2016 Sept -17
Oct-17
0.260 0.265 0.270 0.275 0.280 0.285 0.290 0.295 0.300 0.305 0.310 0.315 0.320 0.325 0.330 0.335 0.340 0.345 0.350
1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900 Grams/Pod
Pods Per 18 Square Feet
Soybean Objective Yield Region
Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight
USDA-NASS
Year Mature
Percent
2013 NA
2014 35
2015 54
2016 53
2017 49
Soybean Objective Yield - October
Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
All Cotton
Harvested Mil Ac 11.4 -0.9 +20.0
Yield Lb/Ac 889 -2.1 +2.5
Production Mil Bls 21.1 -3.0 +23.0
18.8
13.9
17.0 17.2 20.3
17.2 18.3
23.3 23.9 21.6
19.2
12.8 12.2 18.1
15.6 17.3
12.9 16.3
12.9 17.2
21.1
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Million Bales
All Cotton Production
United States
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Rice
Harvested Mil Ac 2.39 -0.2 -22.8
Yield Lbs/Ac 7,469 -0.5 +3.2
Production Mil Cwt 179 -0.6 -20.3
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Peanuts
Harvested Mil Ac 1.83 NC +19.1
Yield Lbs/Ac 4,257 +0.1 +17.1
Production Bil Lbs 7.79 +0.1 +39.5
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Sorghum
Harvested Mil Ac 5.05 -4.9 -18.1
Yield Bu/Ac 72.2 +3.4 -7.3
Production Mil Bu 364 -1.7 -24.1
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Alfalfa Hay
Harvested Mil Ac 17.1 NC +1.3
Yield Tons/Ac 3.27 -0.3 -5.2
Production Mil Tons 56.0 -0.3 -3.8
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
All Other Hay
Harvested Mil Ac 36.4 NC -0.5
Yield Tons/Ac 2.08 -1.0 -0.5
Production Mil Tons 75.9 -0.7 -0.8
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Production
Sugarcane Mil Tons 32.5 +2.2 +1.3
Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.7 -1.3 -3.2
All Tobacco Mil Lbs 724 +0.2 +15.1
USDA-NASS
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Production
Canola Bil Lbs 2.81 NA -9.1
Sunflowers Bil Lbs 1.81 NA -31.7
October 2017 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2017 Forecast Season
Production
Dry Edible Beans Mil Cwt 35.3 +3.1 +23.0
Pecans Mil Lbs 277 NA +3.2
Spring Potatoes Mil Cwt 19.8 +11.6 +30.4
USDA-NASS
