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(1)

12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

August Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch

August 10, 2017

(2)

USDA-NASS

Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Peaches Dry Beans

Soybeans Apples Tobacco

Cotton Pears Sugarbeets

Wheat Grapes Sugarcane

Oats Cranberries Hops

Barley Summer Potatoes

Sorghum

Alfalfa & Other Hay Rice

Peanuts

Contents

(3)

USDA-NASS

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Soybeans, Cotton, and Winter Wheat

Sample Size 21,654 4,544

Collection Period July 29 – Aug 4 July 25 – Aug 1

Survey Overview

(4)

USDA-NASS

August 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 90.9 NC -3.3

Harvested Mil Ac 83.5 NC -3.7

Yield Bu/Ac 169.5 NA -2.9

Production Bil Bu 14.2 NA -6.6

(5)

9.21

9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50 8.97

10.1 11.8

11.1 10.5

13.0 12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8 13.8

14.2 13.6 15.1

14.2

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

(6)

169.5

80.0 90.0 100.0 110.0 120.0 130.0 140.0 150.0 160.0 170.0 180.0

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Bushels per Acre

Corn for Grain Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

(7)

USDA-NASS

(8)

2004

2005 2006 2007 2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015 2016

Aug-17

0.260 0.270 0.280 0.290 0.300 0.310 0.320 0.330 0.340 0.350 0.360 0.370

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500 Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears USDA-NASS

(9)

USDA-NASS

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 89.5 NC +7.3

Harvested Mil Ac 88.7 NC +7.2

Yield Bu/Ac 49.4 NA -5.2

Production Bil Bu 4.38 NA +1.7

August 2017 Crop Production

(10)

2.69 2.74

2.65 2.76 2.89

2.76 2.45

3.12 3.07 3.20

2.68 2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10 3.04 3.36

3.93 3.93 4.31

4.38

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

(11)

49.4

25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Bushels per Acre

Soybean Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

(12)

USDA-NASS

(13)

USDA-NASS

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 12.1 NC +19.7

Harvested Mil Ac 11.1 NA +16.3

Yield Lb/Ac 892 NA +2.9

Production Mil Bls 20.5 NA +19.7

August 2017 Crop Production

(14)

12.1

11.1

4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

All Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(15)

18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2 20.3

17.2 18.3

23.3 23.9 21.6

19.2

12.8 12.2 18.1

15.6 17.3

12.9 16.3

12.9 17.2

20.5

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

(16)

892

500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Pounds per Acre

All Cotton Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

(17)

USDA-NASS

(18)

USDA-NASS

August 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

Winter Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 25.8 NC -14.8

Yield Bu/Ac 50.0 +0.6 -9.6

Production Bil Bu 1.29 +0.6 -23.0

Other Spring Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 10.5 NC -7.1

Yield Bu/Ac 38.3 -5.0 -18.9

Production Mil Bu 402 -5.0 -24.8

Durum Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 1.86 NC -21.4

Yield Bu/Ac 27.2 -12.0 -38.2

Production Mil Bu 50.5 -12.1 -51.5

All Wheat

Production Bil Bu 1.74 -1.2 -24.7

(19)

USDA-NASS

(20)

2004

2005 2006

2007 2008

2009 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015

Jun-17 2016

Jul-17 Aug-17

0.530 0.540 0.550 0.560 0.570 0.580 0.590 0.600 0.610 0.620 0.630 0.640 0.650 0.660 0.670 0.680 0.690 0.700

38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield Region

Heads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006)

USDA-NASS NASS

Estimate

High

Of Expectations

(21)

USDA-NASS

(22)

USDA-NASS

August 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

Oats Mil Bu 53.7 +0.1 -17.1

Barley Mil Bu 140 -1.9 -29.6

Sorghum Mil Bu 369 NA -23.1

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 56.2 NA -3.6

Other Hay Mil Tons 76.4 NA -0.1

Rice Mil Cwt 186 NA -16.8

Peanuts Bil Lbs 7.43 NA +30.7

(23)

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 695 NA +10.5

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 34.2 NA +19.2

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.3 NA -1.5

Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.8 NA -0.9

Summer Potatoes Mil Cwt 20.2 NA +3.3

USDA-NASS

August 2017 Crop Production

(24)

USDA-NASS

August 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

Peaches Thou Tons 735 NA -7.6

Apples Bil Lbs 10.4 NA -7.4

Pears Thou Tons 707 NA -4.3

Grapes Mil Tons 7.51 NA -2.1

Hops Mil Lbs 97.6 NA +12.0

Cranberries Mil Bbls 9.05 NA -6.0

(25)

USDA-NASS

Release Date Report Title

August 25 Cattle on Feed

Rice Stocks

August 30 Agricultural Prices

August 31 Citrus Fruits

September 1

CAIR: Cotton CAIR: Fats & Oils CAIR: Grain Crushings

September 12 Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

Upcoming Reports

(26)

USDA-NASS

(27)

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127 800-727-9540

[email protected]

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