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12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

Prospective Plantings Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch

March 31, 2017

(2)

USDA-NASS

Field Crops Stocks

Principal Crops Planted Acres Corn

Feed Grain Acres Soybeans

Food Grain Acres Sorghum

Oilseed Acres All Wheat

Other Crop Acres Barley

Oats Rough Rice

Contents

(3)

USDA-NASS

March Ag Survey Off-Farm Grain Stock Survey

Survey Type Farmer Reported Reported

Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal Interview

Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal Interview Crops Included Acreage Intentions,

On-Farm Stocks

Grains and Oilseed On Hand

States All except AK and HI All except AK, HI, and NV

Sample Size 83,290 ~ 8,600 Facilities

Collection Period Feb 27 – Mar 20 Feb 27 – Mar 20

Survey Overview

(4)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent

Acreage Intentions vs. Actual Planted Acres

Usual Planting Progress

Corn Soybeans

March Survey

June Survey

4 weeks

USDA-NASS

(5)

Year Principal Crops Change From Previous Year Million Acres

2008 325.6 +5.3

2009 319.0 -6.6

2010 315.4 -3.6

2011 314.3 -1.1

2012 324.3 +10.0

2013 324.9 +0.6

2014 326.4 +1.6

2015 319.0 -7.4

2016 319.2 +0.2

2017 316.9 -2.3

Principal Crops Planted Acreage

United States

USDA-NASS

(6)

317

290 295 300 305 310 315 320 325 330 335

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

Principal Crops

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(7)

USDA-NASS

(8)

90.0

60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

Corn Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(9)

USDA-NASS

(10)

89.5

55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

Soybean Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(11)

USDA-NASS

(12)

USDA-NASS

(13)

12.2

4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

All Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(14)

USDA-NASS

(15)

32.7

25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

Winter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(16)

USDA-NASS

(17)

11.3

10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 18.0 19.0 20.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

Other Spring Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(18)

USDA-NASS

(19)

2.00

1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Acres

Durum Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

(20)

USDA-NASS

(21)

USDA-NASS

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Feed Grains

Corn Mil Ac 90.0 NA -4.3

Sorghum Mil Ac 5.76 NA -13.9

Oats Mil Ac 2.70 NA -4.6

Barley Mil Ac 2.55 NA -16.5

March 2017 Prospective Plantings

(22)

USDA-NASS

March 2017 Prospective Plantings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Food Grains

Wheat, All Mil Ac 46.1 NA -8.2

Wheat, Winter Mil Ac 32.7 +1.1 -9.4

Wheat, Spring Mil Ac 11.3 NA -2.6

Wheat, Durum Mil Ac 2.00 NA -16.9

Rice Mil Ac 2.63 NA -16.6

(23)

USDA-NASS

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Oilseeds

Soybeans Mil Ac 89.5 NA +7.3

Peanuts Mil Ac 1.75 NA +4.8

Sunflower Mil Ac 1.45 NA -8.9

Canola Mil Ac 1.93 NA +12.4

Flaxseed Thou Ac 313 NA -16.3

All Cotton Mil Ac 12.2 NA +21.4

March 2017 Prospective Plantings

(24)

USDA-NASS

March 2017 Prospective Plantings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season

Other Crops

All Hay Mil Ac 52.8 NA -1.2

Sugarbeets Mil Ac 1.13 NA -2.5

Tobacco Thou Ac 318 NA -0.5

Spring Potatoes Thou Ac 52.0 NA +2.0

Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 1.87 NA +12.3

Chickpeas Thou Ac 498 NA +53.1

Lentils Mil Ac 1.06 NA +13.1

Dry Edible Peas Mil Ac 1.14 NA -17.4

A. Winter Peas Thou Ac 26.0 NA -31.6

Sweet Potatoes Thou Ac 158 NA -5.8

(25)

USDA-NASS W Wheat, -3,390

Sorghum, -933 Hay, -650

Rice, -524 Barley, -504 D Wheat, -408

S Wheat, -297 Sunflowers, -143

Oats, -129 Sugarbeets, -29

Tobacco, -2

Potatoes, 1 Peanuts, 80

Dry Beans, 204 Canola, 213

Cotton, 2,159

Soybeans, 6,049

Change in Planted Acres (000)

2017 Compared With 2016

Harvested Acres for Hay & Tobacco

2017 Estimates Not Available for Proso Millet, Rye, &

Sugarcane.

Corn, -4,008

(26)

USDA-NASS

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Year

Stocks

Corn Bil Bu 8.62 NA +10.2

Soybeans Bil Bu 1.73 NA +13.3

Sorghum Mil Bu 180 NA -10.5

Rice Mil Cwt 108 NA -1.1

March 2017 Grain Stocks

(27)

USDA-NASS

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Year

Stocks

Wheat, All Bil Bu 1.66 NA +20.7

Barley Mil Bu 147 NA +6.6

Oats Mil Bu 63.2 NA -16.0

March 2017 Grain Stocks

(28)

12.5

14.3

13.7

14.7

14.1 13.4

11.7

14.7

15.4 15.3

16.9

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17

Billion Bushels

Corn Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

(29)

3.65

3.25 3.17

3.50 3.48

3.31 3.21

3.50

4.02 4.12

4.50

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17

Billion Bushels

Soybean Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

(30)

3.08

2.67

2.47

2.65

3.23

2.86

2.77

2.77 2.90

2.80

3.28

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17

Billion Bushels

All Wheat Stocks

United States

Supply Sep Dec Mar Jun

USDA-NASS

(31)

241

255

267

210

273

227

236

220

249

235

263

0 50 100 150 200 250 300

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17

Million Hundredweight

Rough Rice Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Aug

USDA-NASS

(32)

USDA-NASS

(33)

USDA-NASS

Release Date Report Title

April 3

CAIR: Cotton System CAIR: Fats & Oils CAIR: Grain Crushings

Crop Progress

April 11 Crop Production

April 21 Cattle on Feed

April 27 Agricultural Prices

May 1

CAIR: Cotton System CAIR: Fats & Oils CAIR: Flour Milling CAIR: Flour Milling- Annual

CAIR: Grain Crushings

Upcoming Reports

(34)

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127 800-727-9540

[email protected]

참조

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