수원영통지구인구구조(1999)

( )

P R E F A C E

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S U M M A R Y

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2029 .

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C O N T E N T S

T A B L E C O N T E N T S

F I G U R E C O N T E N T S

C H A P T E R 1

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2030) .

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(2015, 2020, 2030) :

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) :

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, (Student

Generation Rates: SGR) .

C H A P T E R 2

2007 4 27 6 2( )

. ¹⁾

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28 5 2 ‘ ’

. 2008 6 17 ‘ ’

1) [ 9770 , 2009. 6. 9, ] 6 2 1 : ,

25

3 1

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1995 12 29 ( , )

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3). 2002

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. 2005 3 31 5 1

2 2 ,

4). 2005 3 24

2) [ 5072 , 1992. 12. 29] 5 ( · )

· ·

· .

3) , 2008, , vol.26, No.

1, pp.45~68

4) , 2008, , vol.26, No.

1, pp.45~68

5 ( ) .

5) .

. 2006

2 2 , 5 1

,

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5 1

,

31 2

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7). 2006

5) [ 7397 , 2005. 3.24, ] 5 ( · ) ·

· . ( )

6) , 2008, , vol.26, No.

1, pp.45~68

7) [ 9743 , 2009. 5.28, ] 4 3 1.

(

2 100 50,

100 70 , 2 )

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( , , , ),

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0.20

* , 2015

0.69

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(2) .

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(2)

24,014 (1)

9,036 3 .

(1) 2001

2010

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28 , (1) 12

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(1) 1/3 117 /ha

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TP ,

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(1) 11 , 5 , 5

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6.3%~8.5% , 2 , ,

9% ⁹⁾. , (1) 2010

4 37.5%

. < 2-2> (1) .

(1) 2009 10

. 42 15 , ,

1 . 13,101

40,921 32% .

(1)

. 12.7%, 6.1% ,

60 29.7%, 7.5%, 60~85

41.7%, 19.5%, 85 32.9%, 19.9%

.

(1)

. ‘ ’ 2010

9) , 2010.5, (2) ,

2020 10 5.2% . (2)

2014 ~2018 5 5.2% 2.6%

.

(1) (2)

.

10.1%, 3.5%, 60 27.1%, 4.9%, 60~85

39.1%, 16.9%, 85 30.3%, 17.3% .

33 , 15 .

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(2) . 1 , 2

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9.7%, 3.7%, 3.4%, 2 10.0%,

4.6%, 4.6% .

10.4%, 5.2%, 4.1% .

2010 “

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14)

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13) 2009 7 1 (1)

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14) ,

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, ( 1,000 0-4 ),

.

(1) (2010~2030),

2010 36.9% 2015 41.2% 2020

30% 2030 17% .

2010 15.1% 2021 21.2% 2030 8.5%

. 2010 11.2% 2024 20.7%

2030 11.1% .

29 , 29

.

15)

. 1998~2008 11

(1) , 6-7

13~14 .

(1) (2)

. , 2015 33.3% 2022

44.7% 2035 14.2%

. 2015 13.6% 2026 25%

2035 9.8% . 2015

8.4% 2029 22.9% 2035 12.3%

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C H A P T E R 3

・

(Student Generation Rates: SGR) .

.

(occupied uints) (dwelling units)

. 2000

(2000 U.S. Census Data) ,

17) (New Hampshire)

(2010) .

.

(Adjustment Factor) . 2000

. 2005 4

92.7% . .

× (.927) =

(SGR by Age of Housing Unit) .

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(2010)

2 .

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(992,926 ) . , ,

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585 , 375,649 ( 37.8%) .

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(2010) 2

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42-45 .

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10

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25.7 95%

±0.02 .

(2010) .

. 2002 (Census)

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.

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2005 . , ,

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2006 .

1995 1

. 30 , 30

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. 35 20

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1995 .

2002 .

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2004 .

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2005 .

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1998 ,

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2008

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2001 2008

2009 . 2008 2009

.

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3 1998 . , ,

.

.

.

, . 1

.

1995 11.9% 1998 12.2% 0.3%

.

11.1% , , , 12% ,

12.7% .

1995 12.3% 2009 6.9% 1

. 2002 12%

2009 8.0%

.

1

, 1998 0.5-0.8% . 1995

(6.2%), (6.1%), (5.9%) , (5.4%)

. 5.1% 1

, 2004-5 6.5%

. , , 1998

, . 2009

(5.7%), (5.6%) (4.8%),

(4.5%), (4.4%) .

1 1998

2002-3 2008-09

. S

.

2009 , , , 1998 . 1998

(5.7%), (5.6%), (5.1%), (4.7%),

(4.4%) , 2009 (6.0%), (5.4%), (5.3%), (5.1%),

(4.6.%) .

, 1.3% .

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2004 , ,

2005 2008 . , ,

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19) (http://www.schoolinfo.go.kr)

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C H A P T E R 4

2 (2)

.

(1) (2)

, LH 1, 2 11

.

(2) (1)

. (2)

2011 (1)

.

.

2010 4 (1)

2014 .

,

(2) .

2014 2010 4 .

(2) (2) 2015 4

2019 ²⁰⁾. (1) (2)

. 2014

2019 . (2)

21).

(2)

. (1) 2010 12

. ,

(2) .

20) . 2010 2014

2014 100% . 2014

2010 .

.

21) (2014-2019 )

(1) 2010 15

. (2)

.

10 ,

. , ,

. (1)

, (2) .

(1) . ,

.

, 3,261 (1)

1/3 , 15,736 (2)

. 1992 12 1997 12 31

, 1990 3 1995 12 31

.

-2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 0세

10세 20세 30세 40세 50세 60세 70세 80세

동탄신도시 인구구조(2010)

여 남

-4,000 -2,000 - 2,000 4,000

0세 10세 20세 30세 40세 50세 60세 70세 80세

일산신도시 인구구조(1995)

여 남

-2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 0세

10세 20세 30세 40세 50세 60세 70세 80세

수원영통지구인구구조(1999)

여 남

, 1992

. 17

(1) . 276,000 (2)

278,528 , 175 /ha (2)

. 124,326 (42,047 ) ,

2010 95,259 2.27 .

276,000 (69,000 ), 2009 297,915

4.3 .

3(4) ,

8(9) , 12(13) .

1997 ( ), 1996 . 3,4

( ) 5

. ,

. 8 13

.

, 2014

(2010 4 , ) . ( ,

, ) , (60 , 60-85 , 85 ) 2014

(2003-2008 ), (1999-2000 ) .

2010 4

.

2019 (2) .

(2014-2019 ) .

2019

4(3) 5 .

(1995 ) 1999 , 2004 , 2009 ,

(1997 ) 2000 , 2005 , 2010 .

(2) (1)

.

.

(1) 2010 4

(2003~2008 ) . 34,881

40,921 85% . 1 2

6.4% . ,

.

, 2014 (1)

. 2014 2003-2008 ,

1999-2002 . 5

. , 60 , 60 ~85 60 ~85

, 85 ²²⁾ .

22) ( , , , ), / , (60 , 60-85 , 85 )

(1) 2010 4 .

2010 5 .

(1) 2014 (2) 2019

2014 2019

.

.

2019 (2)

.

2014 2019

. ‘ ’ 2010

2020 10 5.2% .

2015~2019 5 5.2% 2.6%

.

2014-1019 .

,

. 2014 2019

19.3% 16.6% , 2.7%

.

2019 (2) 60 ~85

33.9% 15.7%

. 60 ~85 18.0%

3.2% .

(2)

. .

1: ( ) (2)

( : (2) = )

2: ( ) (2)

( : (2) = )

3:

( : (2) = 2 )

(2) (2)

. 1997 3 2000

2005 (5 ), 2010 (10 )

. 1995 4 1999

2004 (5 ), 2009 (10 ) .

.

(2) 2019

5 , 10 .

, , 3

2019 .

, 2019 5 2024

2029 .

LH

30 , 14 .

LH

. (2)

( , )

. 2019 2014 2019

(2.7%) .

.

(2) 3

.

(2)

.

(2) (1)

, LH (1)

. (2) (1)

LH .

.

. ,

2014 , .

2010 2014 100%

, ,

. ,

(2)

.

. 3 (60 , 60-85 , 85 )

.

,

.

.

.

2019

2014 2019

(2.7%) .

3 .

C H A P T E R 5

2009 5 ‘ ’

. ,

, .

, .

. ,

.

( )

. 2008 ‘

’ 2009 ` ’

.

.

.

.

, ,

. , ,

. ,

. (2010)

, , ( / ),

, (2010) (1) ,

(2) .

. (1)

, .

, .

,

.

.

.

R E F E R E N C E

, 2006, :

, 2006, :

, 2009, 11, (1) ,

,

, 2010, 4, (1) ,

,

, 2009, (2) ,

, 2009, (2) ( ),

, 2010, :

,

, 2010, “ , ..5 ”, ,

5 17

, 2008, ,

Vol.26, No.1, pp.45~68

, 2010, :

, 2009, : , 2009.11,

, 2004, ,

, Vol.31, No.2, pp.107~136 , 2006,

, 1998~2009,

, 1995, , , , , / ,

, 2000, , , , , / ,

, 2005, , , , , / ,

, 2009. 10, ( )

, 2010, (2) ,

, 2010, ,

, 2010, (1), (2) ,

, 2010, ,

, 2010, (2) ,

Florida Department of community Affairs, 2004.4, Best Practices Guide for Public School Concurrency

Lee County, Florida, 2008.8, School Impact Fee Update Study

Southern New Hampshire Planning Commission, 1999.7, Impact Fee Development for New Hampshire Communities

(http://kosis.kr/nsportal/index/index.jsp) (http://www.schoolinfo.go.kr/index.jsp)

(http://www.hscity.net/) (http://www.suwon.ne.kr/) (http://www.goyang.go.kr/) (http://www.cans21.net/) (http://www.anyang.go.kr/) (http://www.gunpo21.net/) (http://www.bucheon.go.kr/)

S U M M A R Y

A P P E N D I X

2009 10 (2003~2008 )

- 13,101 ( 40,921 32%)

- 42 15 , , 1

- 2009 10 35.5%

2010 4 (2003~2008 )

- 34,881 ( 40,921 85%)

- ,

- 2010 4 37.5%

, ,

. ,

.

. .

- 2 , , , , ,

- , , , , , , ,