PEPS Oil & Gas Risk
Critical Risk Analysis and Benchmarking Tools for E&P Workflows
Oil & Gas Risk: Beyond Country Risk
• An oil & gas industry approach to risk assessment
> Petroleum sector focused, produced by experts with regulatory and fiscal policy understanding
> Drawing on energy fundamentals, institutions, and investor dynamics
• Answering critical questions for countries of interest, such as:
> What is the potential for legislative or regulatory-driven changes in regulatory burden and licensing terms?
> Which states are most vulnerable to the low oil price environment, and which have the willingness and/or capacity to change fiscal terms?
> How does the mix of foreign competitors and the level of NOC dominance affect policy choices and risks to new entrants and incumbents?
Oil & Gas Risk Rating Oil & Gas Risk Rating
Sanctity of Contract Regulatory Burden Civil Society Risk
Corruption Rule of Law Sanctity of Contract
Regulatory Burden Civil Society Risk
Corruption Rule of Law Hydrocarbon Sector
Operations Hydrocarbon Sector
Operations International Openness
Government Take Expeditiousness of
Contract State/NOC Role International Openness
Government Take Expeditiousness of
Contract State/NOC Role Hydrocarbon Sector
Entry
Hydrocarbon Sector Entry
Export Risk Facility and Personnel
Violence Ministerial/Policy
Volatility Labor Unrest
Export Risk Facility and Personnel
Violence Ministerial/Policy
Volatility Labor Unrest Hydrocarbon Sector
Shocks Hydrocarbon Sector
Shocks
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Service Features
• Briefs and Research Notes: Ongoing monitoring and timely analysis of changes to energy policy, investor relations and operational risks tied into oil & gas risk factors
• Special Reports and Quarterly Outlooks: Detailed assessment of global trends and analysis of special interest topics
• Country Profiles: Analysis of government policy and decision making, energy fundamentals, and competitive environment in top hydrocarbon producing countries
• Advanced Risk Rating and Benchmarking Tools:
Customizable tool for more advanced visualization and evaluation of risk for 130 countries and territories over the immediate and five-year time-horizons, focusing on 21 upstream risk factors
Oil & Gas Risk Commentaries
Expert analysis and quantitative ratings for each risk factor
• Summary of the current overall risk environment and the 5-year outlook
• Detailed analysis of the quantitative and qualitative factors driving each risk rating component
Research Notes and Briefs
• Ongoing monitoring of changes to energy policy, investor relations, and operational risks tied into oil & gas risk factors
• Timely analysis of key developments and how they impact the upstream risk
environment
• Research notes and briefs incorporate IHS energy data, forecasts and cartography
• Recent examples include:
• Saudi Arabia: Succession risks to energy
• Nigeria: Contract changes and energy reforms
• Chad: Gloves off on fiscal change
• Brazil: Pressures to relax local content
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Timely expert analysis on key
developments with impact on
upstream risk factors
Special Reports and Quarterlies
In-depth analysis of regional, thematic and country developments
• Forward looking assessments, allowing clients to anticipate changes to their risk
environment beyond the country level
• Detailed analysis of emerging trends affecting investors on a regional, thematic and country level
• Drawing on IHS energy data, forecasts, cartography, and broader petroleum sector expertise
• Recent examples include:
• Boundary disputes affecting E&P
• Impact of low oil prices on above ground risk
• Impact of competitor mix on E&P engagement
Oil & Gas
Country Profiles
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Analysis of the structural fundamentals of key
producing countries
• Government Policy and Decision Making – analysis of the structure of the policy making and governing entities
• Energy Fundamentals – the petroleum sector in the context of the larger economy and fiscal balance
• Competitive Environment – assessment of the active producers in the country, including the impact of state-owned firms
Risk Rating and
Benchmarking Tools
• See Current, 5-year Forecast, and
Historical scoring trends for all risk factors
• Quickly compare risk factors across
multiple countries and visualize in several formats
• Customize risk factor weightings to reflect user’s own concerns and risk tolerance
Easily visualize and
compare above-ground
risks
Asia-Pacific
Rachel.Calvert@ihs.com Pallavi.Chahal@ihs.com David.Gates@ihs.com
Oil & Gas Risk Analyst Team
Latin America Juliette.Kerr@ihs.com Ford.Tanner@ihs.com
Western Europe and North America
Kevin.Whited@ihs.com Russia/CIS/Eastern Europe
Andrew.Neff@ihs.com
Middle East and North Africa
Mariam.Al-Shamma@ihs.com Catherine.Hunter@ihs.com Sub-Saharan Africa
Roderick.Bruce@ihs.com Josh.Holland@ihs.com
Iraq Iran
PEPS Oil & Gas Risk Team PEPS_Support@ihs.com
IHS Customer Care:
Americas: +1 800 IHS CARE (+1 800 447 2273); CustomerCare@ihs.com
Europe, Middle East, and Africa: +44 (0) 1344 328 300; Customer.Support@ihs.com
Contact Us
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Email: PEPS_Support@ihs.com
