12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
Prospective Plantings Grain Stocks
Rice Stocks
Executive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch
March 29, 2018
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
Field Crops Stocks
Principal Crops Planted Acres Corn
Feed Grain Acres Soybeans
Food Grain Acres Sorghum
Oilseed Acres Sunflower
Other Crop Acres All Wheat
Barley Oats Rice
Contents
USDA-NASS
March Ag Survey Off-Farm Grain Stock Survey
Survey Type Farmer Reported Reported
Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal Interview
Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal Interview Crops Included Acreage Intentions,
On-Farm Stocks
Grains and Oilseed On Hand
States All Except AK & HI All Except AK, HI, & NV
Sample Size 82,946 ~ 8,500 Facilities
Collection Period Feb 27 – Mar 19 Feb 27 – Mar 19
Survey Overview
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent
Acreage Intentions vs. Actual Planted Acres
Usual Planting Progress
Corn Soybeans
March Survey
June Survey
4 weeks
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
Year Principal Crops Change From Previous Year Million Acres
2009 319.0 -6.6
2010 315.4 -3.6
2011 314.3 -1.1
2012 324.3 +10.0
2013 324.9 +0.6
2014 326.4 +1.6
2015 319.0 -7.5
2016 319.2 +0.3
2017 319.1 -0.1
2018 318.0 -1.2
Principal Crops Planted Acreage
United States
USDA-NASS
318
290 295 300 305 310 315 320 325 330 335
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
Principal Crops
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS
88.0
60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
Corn Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18 NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
87.0 87.5 88.0 88.5 89.0 89.5 90.0 90.5 91.0 91.5
March June Final
Million Acres
2018 United States Corn Acres Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
89.0
55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
Soybean Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
88.5 89.0 89.5 90.0 90.5 91.0 91.5 92.0 92.5
March June Final
Million Acres
2018 United States Soybean Acres Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
13.5
4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
All Cotton Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
12.8 12.9 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.3 13.4 13.5 13.6 13.7
March June Final
Million Acres
2018 United States Cotton Acres
Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
32.7
20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
Winter Wheat Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18 NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
30.0 30.5 31.0 31.5 32.0 32.5 33.0
December March June Final
Million Acres
2018 United States Winter Wheat Acres Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
12.6
9.0 11.0 13.0 15.0 17.0 19.0 21.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
Other Spring Wheat Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
11.3 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.5 12.7
March June Final
Million Acres
2018 United States Other Spring Wheat Acres Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
2.00
1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million Acres
Durum Wheat Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18 NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
1.90 2.00 2.10 2.20 2.30 2.40 2.50
March June Final
Million Acres
2018 United States Durum Wheat Acres Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit March Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Season
Feed Grains
Corn Mil Ac 88.0 NA -2.4
Sorghum Mil Ac 5.93 NA +5.4
Oats Mil Ac 2.72 NA +4.9
Barley Mil Ac 2.29 NA -7.9
March 2018 Prospective Plantings
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
March 2018 Prospective Plantings
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit March Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Season
Food Grains
Wheat, All Mil Ac 47.3 NA +2.9
Wheat, Winter Mil Ac 32.7 +0.3 +<0.1
Wheat, Spring Mil Ac 12.6 NA +14.7
Wheat, Durum Mil Ac 2.00 NA -13.1
Rice Mil Ac 2.69 NA +9.2
USDA-NASS
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit March Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Season
Oilseeds
Soybeans Mil Ac 89.0 NA -1.3
Peanuts Mil Ac 1.54 NA -17.9
Sunflower Mil Ac 1.39 NA -1.3
Canola Mil Ac 2.08 NA -<0.1
Flaxseed Thou Ac 225 NA -25.7
All Cotton Mil Ac 13.5 NA +6.8
March 2018 Prospective Plantings
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
March 2018 Prospective Plantings
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit March Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Season
Other Crops
All Hay Mil Ac 53.7 NA -0.1
Sugarbeets Mil Ac 1.11 NA -1.6
Tobacco Thou Ac 310 NA -3.7
Spring Potatoes Thou Ac 53.0 NA -8.6
Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 2.03 NA -2.9
Chickpeas Thou Ac 665 NA +7.5
Lentils Thou Ac 791 NA -28.4
Dry Edible Peas Thou Ac 908 NA -19.5
A. Winter Peas Thou Ac 19.0 NA -28.3
Sweet Potatoes Thou Ac 159 NA -1.9
USDA-NASS Corn, -2,141
Soybeans, -1,160
Peanuts, -334 D Wheat, -303
Barley, -195 Dry Beans, -61
Hay, -58 Sugarbeets, -18 Sunflowers, -18 Tobacco, -12 Potatoes, -5 Canola, -1
W Wheat, 12 Oats, 128
Rice , 227 Sorghum, 306
Cotton, 858
S Wheat, 1,618
Principal Crop Planted Acres (000)
2018 Change From 2017
Harvested Acres for Hay & Tobacco
2018 Estimates Not Available for Proso Millet, Rye, &
Sugarcane.
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
March 2018 Grain Stocks
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit March Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Year
Stocks
Corn Bil Bu 8.89 NA +3.1
Soybeans Bil Bu 2.11 NA +21.2
Sorghum Mil Bu 138 NA -23.5
Sunflower Bil Lbs 1.24 NA -8.4
Rice Mil Cwt 83.4 NA -22.5
USDA-NASS
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit March Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Year
Stocks
All Wheat Bil Bu 1.49 NA -9.9
Barley Mil Bu 129 NA -10.6
Oats Mil Bu 55.1 NA -12.9
March 2018 Grain Stocks
14.3
13.7
14.7
14.1 13.4
11.7
14.7
15.4
15.3
16.9 16.9
8.89
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
Billion Bushels
Corn Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
8.50 8.55 8.60 8.65 8.70 8.75 8.80 8.85 8.90 8.95 9.00
March
Billion Bushels
2018 United States Corn Stocks Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
3.25 3.17
3.50 3.48 3.31
3.21
3.50
4.02 4.12
4.49
4.69
2.11
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
Billion Bushels
Soybean Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
1.80 1.85 1.90 1.95 2.00 2.05 2.10 2.15
March
Million Acres
2018 United States Soybean Stocks
Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
2.51
2.82 2.87
3.14
2.86 2.99 2.85
2.62
2.81
3.49
2.92
1.49
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
Billion Bushels
All Wheat Stocks
United States
Supply Sep Dec Mar Jun
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS NASS
Estimate
Low
Of Expectations
Average
Of Expectations
High
Of Expectations
1.45 1.50 1.55 1.60 1.65
March
Billion Bushels
2018 United States All Wheat Stocks Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
233 228
245
273
227
236
220
249
235
263
217
83.4
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
Million Hundredweight
Rough Rice Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun Aug
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS
Release Date Report Title
March 29 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
April 2 CAIR: Grain Crushings, Fats & Oils, and Cotton System Crop Progress
April 10 Crop Production
April 20 Cattle on Feed
April 27 Agricultural Prices
Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
USDA-NASS
USDA-NASS 3-29-18
