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Study on Climate Map Evaluation of High-resolution Gridded Temperature and Precipitation based on Observations in South Korea for Climate Change Impact Assessment

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Academic year: 2021

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-기후변화 영향평가를 위한 남한지역 관측 기반 고해상도 기온, 강수

전자기후도 평가 연구

안문일

1*

, 양현지

1

, 박주현

1

, 문경환

2

, 한용규

1

, 박은우

3 1주식회사 에피넷, 2국립원예특작과학원 온난화대응농업연구소, 3서울대학교 협동과정 농림기상학

Study on Climate Map Evaluation of High-resolution Gridded

Temperature and Precipitation based on Observations in South Korea for

Climate Change Impact Assessment

M. I. Ahn

1*

, H. J. Yang

1

, J. H. Park

1

, K. H. Moon

2

, Y. K. Han

1

and E. W. Park

3

1

R&D Center, EPINET Co., Ltd, Anyang 14056, Korea, 2National Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, RDA, Jeju, 63240, Korea, 3

Interdisciplinary Program in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea

In the present study, the research team established an agricultural model support system for climate change impact assessment (http://agclimate.agdcm.kr) to support meteorological and climate data of various agricultural models, and based on synoptic observation data provided by the open meteorological data portal of the Korea Meteorological Administration (http://data.kma.go.kr), an climate map with a spatial resolution of 270m containing daily maximum, minimum, and average temperature and daily precipitation was produced to provide data for each station. The meteorological data generated by the system in the present study were statistically tested against presence of precipitation (presence of precipitation if ≥ 1mm and absence of precipitation if < 1mm), amount of precipitation, and daily average temperature extracted from the meteorological data provided by the Rural Development Administration Agricultural Weather Information Service (RDA-AWIS: http://weather.rda.go.kr), which were not used when generating the data in the present study.

Comparison of daily average temperature between the present study and RDA-AWIS showed high accuracy of R2 = 0.9951, while all stations tested for bias showed values very close to 1. The total cumulative precipitation showed a mean bias of 1.1574 for all stations, indicating over-estimation to some degree, but the differences were not significant. The mean accuracy of presence of precipitation for all stations was 89%, while bias was 1.3, indicating over-estimation to some degree. With respect to the accuracy of presence of precipitation by seasons, spring showed the highest accuracy, whereas summer showed the lowest accuracy. Based on statistical analysis of daily average temperature, amount of precipitation, and presence of precipitation, along with agricultural observation data, it was

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-determined that the data could be used as input data for the agricultural models.

Additionally, for the agricultural model support system for climate change impact assessment, Python or R programming language-based application programming interface (API) distribution method and GIS tool-based, such as ArcGIS or QGIS, distribution method will be added, in addition to providing CSV format data, for the purpose of establishing a distribution system that enable agricultural model researchers to utilize the data more easily.

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by the ‘agriculture climate change adaptation system construction project’, which was funded by the Rural Development Administration in 2019.

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