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Analysis of change characteristics through estimating the limit rainfall by period

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기간별 한계강우량 산정을 통한 변화 특성 분석

Analysis of change characteristics through estimating the limit rainfall by period

황정근

*

, 조재웅

**

, 강호선

***

, 이한승

****

, 문혜진

*****

Jeong Geun Hwang, Jae Woong Cho, Ho Seon Kang, Han Seung Lee, Hye Jin Moon

...

Abstract

The frequency and scale of domestic flood damage continues to increase, but the criteria for responding to flood damage have not been established. To this end, research is underway to estimate the amount of rainfall in each region so that it can be used to respond to flood damage. The limit rainfall is defined as the cumulative maximum rainfall for each duration that causes flooding, and this research purpose to improve the threshold rainfall by estimating the damage based on the damage history in units of 5 years and analyzing changes over time. The limit rainfall based on the damage history was estimated by using the NDMS past damage history of the Ministry of the Interior and Safety and the rainfall minutes data of AWS and ASOS. The period for estimating the limit rainfall is 2013 ~ 2017, 2015 ~ 2019, and the limit rainfall is estimated by analyzing the relationship between the flood damage history and the rainfall event in each period. Considering changes in watershed characteristics and disaster prevention performance, the data were compared using 5-year data. As a result of the analysis, the limit rainfall based on the damage history could be estimated for less than about 10.0% of the administrative dongs nationwide. As a result of comparing the limit rainfall by period, it was confirmed that the area where the limit rainfall has increased or decreased This was analyzed as a change due to rainfall events or urbanization, and it is judged that it will be possible to improve the risk criteria of flooding.

key words : risk criteria, damage history, limit rainfall

감사의 글

본 연구는 행정안전부 ‘재난안전관리업무지원기술개발’(NDMI-주요-2019-09-01)의 연구비지원에 의해 수행되었습니다. * 정회원⋅국립재난안전연구원 방재연구실 연구원⋅E-mail : [email protected] ** 정회원⋅국립재난안전연구원 방재연구실 시설연구사⋅E-mail : [email protected] *** 정회원⋅국립재난안전연구원 방재연구실 책임연구원⋅E-mail : [email protected] **** 정회원⋅국립재난안전연구원 방재연구실 선임연구원⋅E-mail : [email protected] ***** 정회원⋅국립재난안전연구원 방재연구실 연구원⋅E-mail : [email protected] 2020 한국수자원학회 학술발표회 99

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