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Quarterly GDP in volume terms for the G20 Percentage change on the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted data Q4 2012 Q3 Note >&gt

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OECD Quarterly National Accounts Paris, 13 March 2013

News Release: G20 GDP growth, fourth quarter 2012

G20 GDP up 0.5% in fourth quarter of 2012

Quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the G20 area grew by 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared with 0.6% in the third quarter, according to preliminary estimates. The aggregate G20 GDP growth rate however continues to mask diverging patterns across the world’s largest economies.

Among the Major Seven countries, all European countries (Italy, Germany, France and the United Kingdom) experienced a GDP contraction in the last quarter of 2012 (from minus 0.9% in Italy and minus 0.6%

in Germany to minus 0.3% in France and the United Kingdom).

By contrast, the non-European Major Seven countries recorded broadly stable or positive growth rates in the fourth quarter of 2012 (slightly above 0.0% in Japan and the United States, and 0.2% in Canada).

Among remaining G20 economies, India, Mexico, Korea, Brazil and South Africa recorded a higher growth in the fourth quarter of 2012 than in the previous quarter, while in Australia, Indonesia and China GDP growth remained broadly stable.

Compared with the same quarter of 2011, GDP growth slowed to 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2012 in the G20 area, with China recording the highest growth rate (7.9%) and Italy the largest contraction (minus 2.8%).

For 2012 as a whole, GDP expanded by 2.8% in the G20 area, compared with 3.8% in 2011.

Quarterly GDP in volume terms for the G20

Percentage change on the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted data

-1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

2012 Q4 2012 Q3

Note

>> Notes:

: Growth rates presented in this chart are based on data with more than one decimal.

To find out more about the G20 and the Inter-Agency Group on Economic and Financial Statistics:

http://www.principalglobalindicators.org/about_iag.aspx

>> Access data:

All the latest G20 data, countries and aggregate, can be downloaded from: http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=33940

>> Contacts:

For further information readers are invited to contact the OECD’s Media Relations Division on (33) 1 45 24 97 00 or at news.contact@oecd.org. For technical questions contact stat.contact@oecd.org.

>> Next QNA releases:

Contributions to OECD GDP growth – Q4 2012: 4 April 2013 OECD GDP growth – Q1 2013: 21 May 2013

G20 GDP growth – Q1 2013: 13 June 2013

(2)

OECD Quarterly National Accounts Paris, 13 March 2013

News Release: G20 GDP growth, fourth quarter 2012

Quarterly GDP in volume terms for the G20

Percentage change on the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted data 2010

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

G20 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5

Argentina 3.0 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.6 -0.9 0.6 ..

Australia 0.8 -0.4 1.3 1.2 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6

Brazil 0.9 0.8 0.6 -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6

Canada 1.1 0.6 -0.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2

China .. 2.2 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.0

France 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.3

Germany 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.4 -0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 -0.6

India 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.3 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.3

Indonesia 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

Italy 0.2 0.1 0.3 -0.1 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7 -0.2 -0.9

Japan -0.4 -1.8 -0.9 2.5 0.1 1.5 -0.2 -0.9 0.0

Korea 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.4

Mexico 1.1 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.8

Russian Federation 1.8 1.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.8 ..

Saudi Arabia .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

South Africa 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.5

Turkey 4.2 2.1 0.9 1.3 0.3 -0.1 1.7 0.2 ..

United Kingdom -0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 -0.3 -0.1 -0.4 1.0 -0.3

United States 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.0

European Union 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 -0.3 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.5

of which: Euro area 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.6

OECD-Total 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 -0.1

2011 2012

GDP in volume terms for the G20

Percentage change on the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted data 2010

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

G20 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.4

Argentina 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.5 6.9 4.4 1.2 0.8 ..

Australia 2.8 1.8 2.4 2.9 2.7 4.4 3.7 3.1 3.1

Brazil 5.4 4.2 3.2 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.9 1.4

Canada 3.6 3.0 2.0 2.9 2.4 2.0 2.7 1.5 1.1

China .. 9.4 9.6 9.7 9.1 8.1 7.6 7.4 7.9

France 1.8 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.3

Germany 4.2 4.8 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.4

India 10.8 10.0 8.4 7.2 5.6 4.7 4.0 3.4 3.9

Indonesia 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1

Italy 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 -0.5 -1.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.8

Japan 3.5 0.2 -1.7 -0.5 -0.1 3.3 4.0 0.4 0.4

Korea 5.0 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.4 2.9 2.3 1.5 1.6

Mexico 4.1 3.8 3.6 4.4 4.0 4.9 4.4 3.3 3.3

Russian Federation 4.7 3.6 3.7 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.2 3.4 ..

Saudi Arabia .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

South Africa 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.2 3.0 2.4 2.8 2.6 2.3

Turkey 9.8 11.2 8.4 8.7 4.7 2.5 3.3 2.1 ..

United Kingdom 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.3 -0.2 0.2 0.3

United States 2.4 1.8 1.9 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.1 2.6 1.6

European Union 2.4 2.4 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.6

of which: Euro area 2.3 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.9

OECD-Total 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.8

2011 2012

(3)

OECD Quarterly National Accounts Paris, 13 March 2013

News Release: G20 GDP growth, fourth quarter 2012

Technical note for IAG G20 GDP News Release: GDP growth in volume

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the standard measure of the value of the goods and services produced by a country during a reference period. The estimate of GDP growth for the G20 aggregate is produced by the OECD Secretariat. It is based on quarterly seasonally adjusted data reported by G20 countries and Eurostat, and, if country data are not available, on estimates from the OECD’s Secretariat.

Country notes

Argentina – Data have been obtained from publicly available, official national statistics sources. Since compliance with international data quality standards and international comparability of data for Argentina have not been systematically assessed, users should exercise caution when comparing the results for Argentina with other countries.

China – China is part of the G20 aggregate for all quarters. Data shown in the tables correspond to official figures from the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Quarterly data prior to 2011Q1 are based on estimates from the OECD’s Economics Department, which are not shown in the tables.

Saudi Arabia – Quarterly estimates are based on estimates from the OECD’s Statistics Directorate. While these estimates are not shown in the tables, Saudi Arabia is part of the G20 aggregate for all quarters.

The seasonally adjusted data includes a working-day correction for all G20 countries except Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa. When seasonally adjusted national data are not available, data are adjusted by the OECD’s Statistics Directorate with the TRAMO/SEATS method; this is the case for India and Indonesia. Figures for the G20 aggregate are calculated from seasonally adjusted data of the countries (i.e. the indirect method). Growth over the previous quarter is not annualised in this News Release. The charts presented in this News Release are based on data with more than one decimal.

Growth rates for the G20 are derived from chained volume estimates in US dollars converted using 2005 Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs) of GDP.

Country coverage

The G20 aggregate consists of the following: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Korea, Mexico, the Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, and the European Union. The G20 aggregate is calculated taking the fifteen individual country members of the G20 (other than France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom) plus the European Union as an aggregate.

Further information

Further methodological information can be downloaded from:

http://www.oecd.org/std/na/G20QuarterlyGDPGrowth_Methodology.pdf

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