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(1)

Syria strikes, travel ban, refugees, and Muslims:

American attitudes on

Trump’s early policies

(2)

A survey of the

Shibley Telhami, Director

Stella Rouse, Associate Director

Valuable assistance was provided by Neil Schwartz, Scott Willoth, and Jordan Evangelista from Nielsen Scarborough.

Brittany Kyser, Rachel Slattery, and Anne Peckham were particularly helpful.

*The University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll probes domestic and international issues that are central to our policy discourse and is led by Professors Shibley Telhami and Stella Rouse.

(3)

Survey Methodology

The survey was conducted April 12-17, 2017 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel,

which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A national

sample of 2,138 panelists completed the survey. Responses were

weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region

using benchmarks from the U.S. Census. The survey was also weighted

(4)

American Attitudes

toward Syria

(5)

On April 6, 2017, President Trump ordered a missile strike against a Syrian air force base after reports

that the regime of Bashar Assad used chemical weapons and

wounded dozens of Syrians.

How do you feel about these

(6)

81

9

10

31

43

26

34

34

30

52

27

20 Support

Oppose

Don't know

How do you feel about these strikes?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

April 2017

(7)

36

39

25

54

26

19

64

19

16 Support

Oppose

Don't know

How do you feel about these strikes?

18-34 35-54 55+

(8)

61

23

15

44

31

24 Support

Oppose

Don't know

How do you feel about these strikes?

Men Women

April 2017

(9)

19

49

31

57

24

18 Support

Oppose

Don't know

How do you feel about these strikes?

Black/African American Not Black/African American

(10)

37

44

19

55

24

20 Support

Oppose

Don't know

How do you feel about these strikes?

Spanish/Hispanic Origin Not Spanish/Hispanic Origin

April 2017

(11)

77

11

11

38

38

25 Support

Oppose

Don't know

How do you feel about these strikes?

Lean toward Israel Lean toward Palestinians/Neither Side

(12)

Thinking about how

President Trump made his decision to launch a military attack on Syria, how has this

affected your confidence in the president’s decision-

making?

(13)

56

8

36 7

44

48 17

31

49 29

27 More confidence than before

Less confidence than before

About the same level of confidence

Thinking about how President Trump made his decision to launch a military attack on Syria, how has this affected your confidence in the

president’s decision-making?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(14)

Given what you may have read or heard about the use

of chemical weapons in

Syria this month, which of the following is closest to

your view?

(15)

75

6

3

16

66

6

5

23

39

10

5

44

66

6

4 Assad probably used chemical

weapons

A party other than Assad probably used chemical weapons

I am not convinced chemical weapons were used

I am uncertain

Given what you may have read or heard about the use of chemical weapons in Syria this month, which of the following is closest to your view?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(16)

How do you think the strike on Syria will affect the

prospects of ending the

violence in Syria?

(17)

33

15

50 10

35

53 14

36

46 20

27

51 It will make it more likely

It will make it less likely

It will have no impact

How do you think the strike on Syria will affect the prospects of ending the violence in Syria?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(18)

How do you believe the strikes on the Syrian air base will affect the level of

American military

involvement in Syria?

(19)

55

9

33

72

8

19

54

15

27

63

9 It will make it more likely that

American military involvement will grow

It makes it less likely that American military involvement

will grow

It will have no impact

How do you believe the strikes on the Syrian air base will affect the level of American military involvement in Syria?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(20)

In your opinion, how will the strikes on

Syria affect Assad’s

likely behavior?

(21)

30

36

32

54

12

42

17

42

23 It will make him more aggressive

in attacking the Syrian opposition

It will likely make him less aggressive in attacking the

Syrian opposition

In your opinion, how will the strikes on Syria affect Assad’s likely behavior?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(22)

American

Attitudes toward

Refugees

(23)

In general, do you support or oppose the United States

taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other

Middle Eastern countries after

screening them for security

(24)

36

63

83

15

51

47

59

39 Support strongly/somewhat

Oppose strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

April 2017

(25)

64

35

52

45

62

37 Support strongly/somewhat

Oppose strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

18-34 35-54 55+

(26)

55

44

63

35 Support strongly/somewhat

Oppose strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

Men Women

April 2017

(27)

63

32

59 Support strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

Black/African American Not Black/African American

(28)

63

35

59

40 Support strongly/somewhat

Oppose strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

Spanish/Hispanic Origin Not Spanish/Hispanic Origin

April 2017

(29)

59

41

59 Support strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

May 2016 April 2017

(30)

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

May 2016 April 2017 38

63

77 23

55 42

36

63

83 15

51 47 Support strongly/somewhat

Oppose strongly/somewhat Support strongly/somewhat Oppose strongly/somewhat Support strongly/somewhat Oppose strongly/somewhat

REPDEMIND

(31)

40

59

72

28 Support strongly/somewhat

Oppose strongly/somewhat

In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern

countries after screening them for security risks?

Lean toward Israel Lean toward Palestinians/Neither Side

(32)

American Views of Arguments for

and against the

travel ban

(33)

This past March, the White House issued an executive order to limit travel to the United States from six Muslim-majority nations. The order

also aimed to suspend the Refugee Admission Program (USRAP) for 120

days and impose a cap of 50,000

refugees in 2017. This order has been

blocked by federal judges including in

(34)

ARGUMENT FOR THE BAN

Now tell me how much you agree or disagree with each of the following.

The executive order is necessary to ensure the safety of all Americans. The government has a responsibility to ensure that

nobody entering our country is coming here to do us harm. It is only reasonable to limit immigration from those six

countries until we know that the people coming do not pose a threat. While it may be true that many who do not pose a threat will be kept out in the process, our top priority must be

reducing the threat to American citizens by keeping potential

terrorists out.

(35)

84

5

11

21

11

68 48

14

37

50

9

40 Agree strongly/somewhat

Neither agree nor disagree

Disagree strongly/somewhat

The executive order is necessary to ensure the safety of all Americans.

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(36)

ARGUMENT AGAINST THE BAN

Now tell me how much you agree or disagree with each of the following.

The United States is a nation of immigrants, one with a long history of taking in those fleeing persecution in their home

countries. Refugees have also contributed considerably to America. Data shows that only a handful of refugees have been charged with terrorist plotting among hundreds of thousands who

arrived to the United States in the past decade and a half. The Constitution prohibits restricting immigration based on religion,

which some courts have found this order to do.

(37)

21

18

59

79

12

9

44

27

26

50

17

32 Agree strongly/somewhat

Neither agree nor disagree

Disagree strongly/somewhat

The United States is a nation of immigrants, one with a long history of taking in those fleeing persecution in their home countries.

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(38)

Having thought about

it, do you support or

oppose the travel ban?

(39)

88

11 13

86 47

52 49

50 Support

Oppose

Having thought about it, do you support or oppose the travel ban?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

(40)

37

63 55

44

53

46

Support

Oppose

Having thought about it, do you support or oppose the travel ban?

18-34 35-54 55+

April 2017

(41)

54

46 44

54 Support

Oppose

Having thought about it, do you support or oppose the travel ban?

Men Women

(42)

21

79 53

46 Support

Oppose

Having thought about it, do you support or oppose the travel ban?

Black/African American Not Black/African American

April 2017

(43)

36

62 51

48 Support

Oppose

Having thought about it, do you support or oppose the travel ban?

Spanish/Hispanic Origin Not Spanish/Hispanic Origin

(44)

80

20

30

69 Support

Oppose

Having thought about it, do you support or oppose the travel ban?

Lean toward Israel Lean toward Palestinians/Neither Side

April 2017

(45)

In your opinion, is this ban principally

intended to keep

Muslims out of the

(46)

23

77

86

13

56

41

56

43 Yes

No

In your opinion, is this ban principally intended to keep Muslims out of the U.S.?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

April 2017

(47)

When deciding which

immigrants should be allowed to enter the United States,

should we give priority to

people who are Christians or should we treat all immigrants

the same regardless of

(48)

22

70

8 3

93

4

12

72

16 12

81

7 Christian immigrants should be

given priority

All immigrants, regardless of religion should be treated the

same

Don’t know

When deciding which immigrants should be allowed to enter the United States, should we give priority to people who are Christians or

should we treat all immigrants the same regardless of religion?

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

April 2017

(49)

American Views of Muslims and

Islam

(50)

What is your attitude about each of the

following?

The Muslim People

(51)

53

46

58

41

62

38

70

71 Very/Somewhat

Favorable

Very/Somewhat

What is your attitude about each of the following?

The Muslim People

Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando) April 2017

Oct. 2016

(52)

57

41

84

15

71

27

71

27 Very/Somewhat Favorable

Very/Somewhat Unfavorable

What is your attitude about each of the following?

The Muslim People

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

April 2017

(53)

What is your attitude about each of the

following?

(54)

37

61 42

57 44

55 49

49

46

51 Very/Somewhat Favorable

Very/Somewhat Unfavorable

What is your attitude about each of the following?

The Muslim Religion

Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando) April 2017

Oct. 2016

(55)

25

73 66

32

48

50 46

51 Very/Somewhat Favorable

Very/Somewhat Unfavorable

What is your attitude about each of the following?

The Muslim Religion

Republicans Democrats Independents Total

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