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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

1

Report for

Monday,

September 4, 2017 Shahrivar 13, 1396

* Highlights. Page 2

* News Briefs. Page 3

* House arrest continues. Page 3

* Have you negotiated or were you dictated?! Page 3

* ‘A Good Feeling’ campaign to promote hijab. Page 4

* North Korean crisis a break for Iranophobic agenda. Page 5

* The inevitable choice between terrorism and antiterrorism in America’s Middle Eastern policy. Page 8

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

2 Highlights

Reformist newspaper Shargh prints a commentary by international relations analyst Fereidoun Majlesi about how the North Korean crisis could affect short- term policies against Iran. (See Page 5)

 Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran are the main actors in the West Asia region.

Therefore, the United States cannot ignore the role that these countries play in this region and, in view of its own interests, will finally have to rely on them for the resolution of such major crises as terrorism and Islamic extremism.

(See Page 8)

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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Briefs

* Farsi-language Islamic Consultative Assembly News Agency (ICANA) reports that MP and member of Parliament’s Committee for National Security and Foreign Relations Morteza Safari Natanzi commented on the North Korea situation by saying that Iran is against testing of nuclear weapons by any country. He went on to say: America has not fulfilled its commitments in its agreement with North Korea and we see that it has resulted in North Korea testing nuclear weapon and missiles.

* Farsi-language Iranian Students’

News Agency (ISNA) reports that Vice President and Head of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Ali Akbar Salehi says that any decision related to American sanctions against Iran would be made by Iran’s JCPOA Supervisory Board. The members of this board are President Rouhani, Majlis Speaker Ali Larijani, Foreign Minister [Zarif], Defense Minister [Amir Hatami], SNSC Secretary Ali Shamkhani, Ali Akbar Salehi, Saeed Jalili, and Ali Akbar Velayati.

* Farsi-language Iranian Students’

News Agency (ISNA) reports that MP Hojjatoleslam Alireza Salimi says that Ministry of Science, Research and Technology should facilitate enrolment of foreign students in Iranian universities. He said that Iranian universities have 550,000 empty seats and these can be fulfilled by foreign students.

* Farsi-language Islamic Consultative Assembly News Agency (ICANA) reports that MP Seyyed Kamaluddin Shahryari says that successful negotiations between Iran and Saudi Arabia over sending Iranian pilgrims to Hajj has opened the way for improving the bilateral relations between the two countries.

House arrest continues

Farsi-language Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA) reports that Judiciary spokesperson Hojjatoleslam Mohseni Ejei says that Iran’s Supreme National Security Council has decided to continue keeping Hojjatoleslam Mehdi Karroubi, Mir Hussein Musavi and Zahra Rahnavard [Musavi’s wife] under house arrest.

He went on to say that the house arrest was a legal action and “no one” has the right to oppose this “law”. He said that he is surprised why “some gentlemen” [most specifically President Rouhani] do not agree with the house arrest, when they were part of a council which approved the house arrest.

He also said that the security personnel have left Karroubi’s home after he had returned from hospital.

Meanwhile, former head of Iranian state television Izzatollah Zarghami said that President Rouhani was present during the SNSC meeting when the decision for the house arrest was made. He went on to say that the decision was made by SNSC and decision has nothing to do with the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.

According to Iranian news media, Karroubi, Mousavi and Mousavi’s wife Zahra Rahnavard were confined to their homes in February 2011 after the opposition leaders called supporters to rally in solidarity with pro- democracy uprisings in Arab countries.

Have you negotiated or were you dictated?!

Farsi-language hardline newspaper Kayhan prints a commentary on JCPOA by its Managing Director Hussein Shariatmadari. He calls on the Iranian negotiators to provide explanation about the following points:

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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1. If JCPOA is a detailed agreement, then why does the other side [America] keep on coming up with different excuses to put pressure on Iran?! The other side [America] bases its excuses on ambiguous words of some of the clauses of the JCPOA, something which the Iranian negotiators obviously overlooked.

2. Why has the most important part of the JCPOA, i.e. lifting of “all” sanctions, hasn’t still been implemented? In fact, new sanctions continue to be imposed on Iran especially “the mother of all sanctions”

[by American Congress].

3. If they think that America is violating JCPOA, then why are they not explicitly saying so? And if they think that America has not violated the deal, then why did they allow the wording of the deal to be so ambiguous that America can easily not fulfill its commitments and still make demands on Iran?!

All this goes against Mr. Zarif’s assertion that JCPOA is “a completely clear and transparent” agreement, adding that the level of monitoring has been determined in it, that JCPOA has been negotiated and written very precisely and has a complete framework with specified approaches in all fields.

All this clearly shows that Iranian negotiators have not been competent enough to negotiate a good deal for Iran.

They have been unable to effectively prevent the enemy to create problems for Iran.

It appears that the Iranian negotiators were tricked into signing the nuclear deal. Alas, there are tens, repeat tens, of questions that remain unanswered.

‘A Good Feeling’ campaign to promote hijab

Farsi-language Young Journalists Club (YJC) reports that women who have recently converted to Islam or those who decided to change their lifestyle have launched a campaign in Tehran to promote the culture of wearing hijab.

A number of nicely decorated pavilions called “A Good Feeling” are seen in some of the neighborhoods in the Iranian capital, Tehran, in which women who have recently become Muslims or made a change in their lifestyles promote the culture wearing hijab in a new different way.

The women in these portable cabins help other ladies who go to their pavilions to experience correct hijab and understand why it is necessary in Islam.

They also answer their visitors’ religious questions and help resolve their uncertainties about religious matters.

Visitors to the cabins are presented with gifts such as flowers, scrolls, brochures containing information about religious issues and children’s books.

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

5 North Korean crisis

a break for Iranophobic agenda

The recent North Korea crisis has led to a breakaway from Iranophobia among Trump and his team.

Noting Hezbollah’s role in ISIS’ defeat in the Syrian war, Iran’s active role in the country and with Hamas in Gaza, particularly at a time Hamas openly declares its rapprochement with Iran and preparation for war, Netanyahu insists on not letting Iran ‘siege’ Israel.

In fact, US is more seriously concerned about North Korea and senses real danger there, because the Kim dynasty has brought the country in a place it has nukes and missiles but nothing else.

North Korea however is still in a state of war with the US.

On the other hand, the US is committed to protect the security of South Korea and Japan.

Despite North Korea’s middle-range missile test over the Japanese island of Hokkaido in a breach of international law, Japanese citizens have called on US to avoid a harsh response because they are afraid Japan and South Korea would have to pay the price.

On the one hand, it has taken North Korea’s breach of international regulations to the UN Security Council, declaring all options are on the table, even though it has long become known as an empty threat.

Whether the UNSC condemns North Korea or not, the only way left is to use the same options on the table.

The US can destroy North Korea but South Korea and Japan have to pay for it.

Bear in mind that the Korean conflict was almost solve under the Clinton

administration, paving ground for family visits between citizens of the two states and South Korea’s investments in the North Korea’s border free zones.

Shargh reformist newspaper. Originally published on Thursday, August 31, 2017: The recent North Korea crisis has led to a breakaway from Iranophobia among Trump and his team. The break coming after all the heavy propaganda, threats, and

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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preparations has made Israel’s PM Netanyahu worried, prompting him to resume his overseas hectic visits to avoid his Iranophobic efforts to go up in smoke.

The Republic of Syria used to have a strong army and stability. The civil war and the collapse of solidarity in the country have now turned it into Isaeli jets’ bailiwick.

However, Syria is now regaining its relative calm, albeit with hard-won invaluable experience. Noting Hezbollah’s role in ISIS’ defeat in the Syrian war, Iran’s active role in the country and with Hamas in Gaza, particularly at a time Hamas openly declares its rapprochement with Iran and preparation for war, Netanyahu insists on not letting Iran ‘siege’ Israel.

In the meantime, Trump’s anti-Iran advisor Steven Bannon has resigned and John Bolton, former US Ambassador to the UN, himself a conservative anti-Iran racist, has revealed that Bannon collaborated in a plan to dismantle the nuclear deal, an unbinding agreement for Washington since the Congress has not passed it into law.

Incompetent to understand such analyses, Trump seems to have forgotten that the accord is established by a UNSC resolution and the US could only make slight disturbances based on the old mutual hostilities. These nuisances could of course influence European banks and firms in their collaboration with Iran.

However, the emergence of the North Korea crisis has turned heads. In fact, US is more seriously concerned about North Korea and senses real danger there, because the Kim dynasty has brought the country in a place it has nukes and missiles but nothing else. In other words, it has nothing to lose and would have nothing to worry about in a potential war, except the costless lives of its obedient citizens. This situation, with an unconventionally reckless ruler, could lead to a dire, unpredictable situation. In contrast, US’ hostility against Iran is fed by Israel’s Iranophobic propaganda and provocative statements from certain domestic Iranian circles, both of which do not include a real confrontation. The Americans know that their call for inspection of Iran’s military centers is intended as a pressing tool and will never be accepted. They seem to have forgotten that if they succeeded to impose this on Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, it was because Iraq had invaded and occupied Kuwait, losing a stupid war after which it had to succumb to certain conditions for survival. Iran, on the other hand, has invaded no country and does not need to accept any of such conditions.

North Korea however is still in a state of war with the US. The end of the Korean War in the summer of 1953 was only an armistice around the 38th parallel, repeatedly violated. On the other hand, the US is committed to protect the security of South

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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Korea and Japan. Despite North Korea’s middle-range missile test over the Japanese island of Hokkaido in a breach of international law, Japanese citizens have called on US to avoid a harsh response because they are afraid Japan and South Korea would have to pay the price. Russia and China are also concerned, in fear of N Korea’s desperate response to crippling sanctions.

The missile test has put America in a difficult situation. On the one hand, it has taken North Korea’s breach of international regulations to the UN Security Council, declaring all options are on the table, even though it has long become known as an empty threat. On the other hand, the US is expected to show reaction against such perilous indecencies. The question is why they did not shot the missile down while they were tracking it? Is it because they could not, or did not want to do so? Were they worried about a potential retaliation? Do they prefer a diplomatic solution? If so, what will the N Korean blackmail for? Could the US accept it?

Clearly, as has been the case in similar situations, the US would wish to overthrow the North Korean regime. However, there is no way into the isolated country. Any domestic movement seems farfetched considering Kim Jong-un’s brutal punishments and the tight security. Whether the UNSC condemns North Korea or not, the only way left is to use the same options on the table. The US would have to resort to surprise measures with simultaneous massive explosions, with many targets and casualties, in order to prevent any quick responses. Such measures could ring the alarm for Venezuela and others too, but the slightest mistake could prove a dangerous gamble.

The US can destroy North Korea but South Korea and Japan have to pay for it. Bear in mind that the Korean conflict was almost solve under the Clinton administration, paving ground for family visits between citizens of the two states and South Korea’s investments in the North Korea’s border free zones. George W. Bush ruined it with his imprudent ‘axis of evil’ speech. The situation now is more critical, with no place for stupidity.

Despite common belief that the US is shifting its strategic attention from the Middle East to the East Asia, attention to the Pacific is nothing new. An increasingly powerful China is not new either. The Middle East has always been the world’s energy capital and there is a long way to go for alternative energy resources to take over. Supporting Israel against foreign threat is like a messianic duty for the US. The Korean issue will lead to negotiations or the final solution, which is war. However, the US will remain in the Middle East.

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

8 The inevitable choice between

terrorism and antiterrorism in America’s Middle Eastern policy

This state of affairs clearly shows that the interests of Ankara are not in line with those of Washington in the Middle East and the United States does not agree to Turkey’s policy in this regard, because it does not want terrorist groups to become powerful in Syria.

On the other hand, the Islamic Republic of Iran, as a regional power, has been able to play a major role against Daesh in Iraq and Syria.

In the meantime, it is clear that Iran is one of the most important targets of the Daesh terrorist group and, as a country with the biggest Shia population in the region, which rejects the Salafist ideology, is considered as a hostile country by Daesh.

In view of the above facts, it is evident that lack of coordination between the United States, on the one hand, and Saudi Arabia and Turkey, on the one hand, and the overlap between Washington’s interests and those of Tehran with regard to the fight against Daesh can gradually bring the governments of these two countries closer together in their fight against threats posed by this terror group.

On the other hand, the presence of Daesh in Iraq and Syria and Syria’s resistance against this terrorist group through Iran’s support has demonstrated to Washington and other Western powers that Iran enjoys a suitable degree of coherence and

stability and has serious influence on people in the region both directly and indirectly.

From the viewpoint of regional countries, the current government of Iran is a powerful government in the Middle East region and is also a powerful force in the Middle East to fight against Daesh in order to restore stability to the Islamic world.

The new balance of power created in this way can allow Iran to play a mediatory role to establish peace among various conflicting sides in the region once the United States makes the decision to leave the Middle East.

All told, such a country has the potential to establish the balance of power in the region and play a leadership role in creating a new balance of power among regional countries.

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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Iran Review news website. Shahrouz Shariati. Assistant Professor of Political Science, Tarbiat Modarres University: Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran are the main actors in the West Asia region. Therefore, the United States cannot ignore the role that these countries play in this region and, in view of its own interests, will finally have to rely on them for the resolution of such major crises as terrorism and Islamic extremism. However, the question is which one of these actors is more reliable for the resolution of the ongoing crises in the Middle East and to do away with threats posed by Takfiri terrorists? A primary answer to this question is that, at the present juncture, the interests of the United States are at odds with the interests of its traditional allies such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey. When he United States was trying to topple the government of the Syrian President Bashar Assad through lending its support to Syrian opposition groups, its interests somehow overlapped with those of Saudi Arabia in Syria. However, a change in US strategy after Washington came to realize that the Daesh Takfiri terrorist group was a more serious threat than the incumbent government in Syria, led to some kind of gap between the two countries’ approaches to Syria.

Under present conditions, demonstration of emotional, religious and financial links between Saudi Arabia and Daesh has caused further deepening of the distrust that had been already developed between Riyadh and Washington following terrorist attacks in New York on September 11, 2001. Therefore, while the United States did not sense any threat from its relations with Saudi Arabia in the past, under the present circumstances and as the scope of terrorist threats expands, it is feeling more threatened. In addition, the United States’ relations with its other traditional ally in the region, that is, Turkey, are now at their lowest due to the ongoing war against Daesh.

Under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey has moved toward an authoritarian regime and its policies with regard to fighting Daesh and resolution of the crisis in Syria are not in agreement with the United States’ priorities. In addition, Turkey has been focused on arming those opposition groups, which fight against the Syrian government, and leaders in Ankara are ready to help any group, which is active against the Syrian government, in the vain hope of ousting Syrian President Bashar Assad from power.

This state of affairs clearly shows that the interests of Ankara are not in line with those of Washington in the Middle East and the United States does not agree to Turkey’s policy in this regard, because it does not want terrorist groups to become powerful in Syria. On the other hand, the Islamic Republic of Iran, as a regional power, has been

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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able to play a major role against Daesh in Iraq and Syria. Tehran has been responsibly asking for the elimination of Daesh in Iraq and flushing of this terrorist group out of Syria. At the same time, it has been emphasizing the need to maintain territorial integrity of these two countries while seeking to reduce the group’s potential to stage terrorist attacks elsewhere in the region and also prevent its members from securing a foothold in such neighboring countries as Afghanistan.

In the meantime, it is clear that Iran is one of the most important targets of the Daesh terrorist group and, as a country with the biggest Shia population in the region, which rejects the Salafist ideology, is considered as a hostile country by Daesh. This hatred that Daesh has for Iran became even more profound when the ideology of Daesh was strongly tied to the ideology of Iraq’s defunct Baath party. Iraq’s former dictator, Saddam Hussein, had clearly advised his followers to keep this ideology alive.

Iran and America cooperating against the common threat of Daesh

In view of the above facts, it is evident that lack of coordination between the United States, on the one hand, and Saudi Arabia and Turkey, on the one hand, and the overlap between Washington’s interests and those of Tehran with regard to the fight against Daesh can gradually bring the governments of these two countries closer together in their fight against threats posed by this terror group. At the same time, according to theory of offshore balancing, it seems that the most logical option for Americans is to give up the Middle East and leave Iran in charge of fighting this important threat both directly and indirectly. On the other hand, the presence of Daesh in Iraq and Syria and Syria’s resistance against this terrorist group through Iran’s support has demonstrated to Washington and other Western powers that Iran enjoys a suitable degree of coherence and stability and has serious influence on people in the region both directly and indirectly.

From the viewpoint of regional countries, the current government of Iran is a powerful government in the Middle East region and is also a powerful force in the Middle East to fight against Daesh in order to restore stability to the Islamic world. As a result, global powers can take advantage of Iran’s regional position in the Middle East as a balancing weight. The new balance of power created in this way can allow Iran to play a mediatory role to establish peace among various conflicting sides in the region once the United States makes the decision to leave the Middle East. This will also help Iran attain its rightful standing within the international community. On the whole, the

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Daily Report for Monday, September 4, 2017

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United States is well aware that from a military standpoint, Iran is very powerful, while it is also a big country in terms of geographic expanse and has a sizeable population. Therefore, due to these factors, in addition to civilizational considerations, Iran can behave like a big power in this region. All told, such a country has the potential to establish the balance of power in the region and play a leadership role in creating a new balance of power among regional countries.

According to the above facts, the United States and Iran may have different viewpoints on a future Middle East, but they have shared views on three main goals:

1. maintaining territorial integrity of Iraq and resolving the ongoing crisis in Syria;

2. preventing a sectarian war, which can easily spread to the entire region; and 3. defeating Daesh as a serious threat.

Last but not least, it goes without saying that historical differences between Iran and the United States will continue to play an important part in persistence of a hostile mood between Tehran and Washington. However, realistic considerations of power indicate that at the end of the day, the United States will have to give up usual political pleasantries and make a choice between two options of terrorism and antiterrorism in the region. At that time, the United States will surely find Iran a much better option for cooperation than Turkey and Saudi Arabia.

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