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도심의 설해취약지역 선정 및 위험도 평가에 관한 연구 - 부산광역시 지형적 특성을 중심으로 -

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* ᇡᔑݡ⦺Ʊ ၶᔍŝᱶ ([email protected])

Received April 18 2012, Revised July 15 2012, Accepted February 13 2013

Copyright ⵑ 2013 by the Korean Society of Civil Engineers

 ǣŠ––’ǣȀȀ†šǤ†‘‹Ǥ‘”‰ȀͳͲǤͳʹ͸ͷʹȀ•…‡ǤʹͲͳ͵Ǥ͵͵Ǥ͵ǤͳͲ͹͹ ™™™Ǥ•…‡Œ‘—”ƒŽǤ‘”Ǥ”

ᦂ⢪ⴖ#⛢㬲㎦⬻⽾⮫#⛞ⷓ#⇍#Ⳃ㮖ᦂ#㦇ᆾ⮎#ኾ㬚#⮮ጪ 0#⌾♮ዏ⮫⢚#⽾㯓⶿#㡷⛯ⴂ#⻏⢪⳺Ḛ#0

֜କন ȵଲন෹ ȵ୨சశ

Koo, Yoo Seung*, Lee, Sung Ho**, Jung, Juchul***

Selecting and Assessing Vulnerable Zones of Snow Damage in Urban Areas

- the case of City of Busan

ABSTRACT

Recent huge losses of both life and property have occurred by unexpected natural disasters. We studied snow damages, an important natural disaster issue because it happens more frequently in recent years. This study tries to select vulnerable areas of snowfall in advance and then establish climate change adaptation policy for minimizing unexpected snowfall damage. Busan, where is our study area, has hilly in downtown areas so that topography characteristics of the roads such as slope, elevation and aspect are vulnerable to snowfall. The sudden snowfall in Busan causes traffic jam and causes some schools in hilly to close some schools. At this moment, the adaptation policy has to be established for infrastructure (such as roads) in advance, because prediction of anomaly climate due to global warming is so difficult beside the damage of natural disaster is huge. Therefore, the purpose of this study is contribute to selecting and assessing vulnerable zones of snow damage focusing topography characteristics of the roads and then evaluating the degree of risk of vulnerable zones.

Key words : Snow Damage, GIS Overlay Analysis, Risk Assessment

Ⅹಾ

↽ɝḡǍ۵ᯕᔢʑ⬥ෝᬱᯙᮝಽ⦽ᯱᩑᰍӽၽᔾᨱ᮹⧕Ğᱽᱢᗱᝅၰᯙ໦⦝⧕aኩჩ⦹íၽᔾ⦹Łᯩ݅. ᅙᩑǍ᮹༊ᱢᮡᯱᩑᰍӽ᮹

⦹ӹᯙᖅ⧕ᱢ᮲ᨱš⦽äᮝಽࠥಽa᭥⊹⦽ḡᩎ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒᮥᵲᝍᮝಽᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎᮥᖁᱶ⦹Łə᭥⨹ᱶࠥෝᱽ᜽⦹۵äᯕ݅. ᩑǍ ḡᩎᯙᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽᮹ĞᬑࠥᝍԕǍ෪ᖒᔑḡaฯᯕᇥ⡍⦹Łᯩᨕࠥಽ᮹Ğᔍaɪ⦹Łฯᮡᔑᅖࠥಽa⩶ᖒࡹᨕᯩᨕ⡎ᖅᨱ≉᧞⦽Ǎ᳑

ಽࡹᨕᯩ݅. ↽ɝᨱ۵⡎ᖅᯕ௝⧁ᙹᨧ۵ᱢᮡᱢᖅపᨱࠥࠥಽƱ☖ᯕษእࡹŁ⦺Ʊa⮕Ʊ⦹۵॒ⓑ⪝௡ᯕၽᔾ⦹ᩡ݅. ḡǍ᪉ӽ⪵ᨱ᮹

⦽ᯕᔢʑ⬥۵ᩩ⊂ᯕᨕಖŁə⦝⧕۵ๅᬑⓝᮝಽšಉᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅᨱݡ⦽ᱢ᮲ᱶ₦ᯕษಉࡹᨕ᧝⦽݅. ঑௝ᕽᅙᩑǍ۵ᩑǍḡᩎ᮹ࠥಽ a᭥⊹⦽ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒॅᮥᵲᝍᮝಽᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎᮥᖁᱶ⦹Ł⧪ᱶ࠺݉᭥᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aෝ☖⦽᭥⨹ᱶࠥෝӹ┡ԥᮝಽᖅ⧕ᱢ᮲ᱶ₦ᙹพ᜽

ʑⅩᯱഭಽᕽ⪽ᬊࢁᙹᯩࠥಾ⦹ᩡ݅.

áᔪᨕ ᖅ⧕, GIS ᵲℊᇥᕾ, ᭥⨹ࠥᇥᕾ

”ƒ•’‘”–ƒ–‹‘‰‹‡‡”‹‰ İࣀėॡ

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1. ᕽು

ḡǍ᪉ӽ⪵ෝəᬱᯙᮝಽ⦹Łᯩ۵ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵۵݉ᙽ᪉ࠥᔢ᜚

ᐱอᦥܩ௝⧕ᙹ໕ᔢ᜚, ┽⣮, ǎḡᱢḲᵲ⪙ᬑ, aྥ, ⪮ᙹəญŁ

⡎ᖅ॒݅᧲⦹í᳕ᰍ⦹໑, əᔍᔢॅ᮹vࠥ᪡ኩࠥaᱱ₉᷾a⦹

Łᯩ݅. ੱ⦽IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change :ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱš⦽ᱶᇡe⩲᮹ℕ)ᨱᕽ2007֥ࠥᨱၽe⦽ⷢᱽ4₉

ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵⠪aᅕŁᕽⷣᨱ঑෕໕᪉ᝅaᜅ႑⇽q⇶ŝzᮡיಆ ᮝಽʑ⬥ᄡ⪵⩥ᔢᮥ᪥⪵᜽┅۵äอⓝᯕӹʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱᱢ᮲⦹

۵äᯕᵲ᫵⦹݅Łᨙɪ⦹Łᯩ݅. əᯕᮁ۵᪉ᝅaᜅ႑⇽ᱡq

יಆᯕ ᖒŖ⦹ᩍࠥ ᯕၙ ႑⇽ࡽ äᮝಽ ᯙ⧕ ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵۵ ĥᗮ

ၽᔾ⧁äᯕ໑ḡᗮᱢᮝಽ ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ෝĞ⨹⧕᧝⦽݅۵ᔍᝅᮥ

ั⧕ᵝŁᯩ݅. ᯕ్⦽šᱱᨱᕽʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᱢ᮲(adaptation)ᮡʑ⬥

ᄡ⪵᪥⪵(mitigation)᪡⧉̹ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ݡ᮲ᨱᯩᨕᕽ⦥ᙹᱢᯙ

᫵ᗭ௝⧁äᯕ݅. ভྙᨱʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ಽᯙ⧕ၽᔾ⧁ᙹᯩ۵᭥ʑᔢ⫊

ᨱݡእ⦹ʑ᭥⧕ᕽ۵ḡᩎᄥʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᱢ᮲ᩎపᮥv⪵⧕᧝⦽݅.

✚⯩, ᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅᮡ ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱ ᱢ᮲⧁ ᙹ ᯩ۵ ࠥǍಽᕽ

əᱢ᮲ᩎపᮥv⪵⦹۵äᮡʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱݡ᮲⦽ᳬᮡᱲɝႊჶᯕ

ࢁᙹᯩ݅. ᯙǍaḲᵲࡹᨕᯩ۵ࠥ᜽۵ᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹ᩎ⧁ᯕ

ๅᬑᵲ᫵⦹໑əʑ܆ᯕษእࢁĞᬑⓑ⪝௡ᮥⅩ௹⦹íࡽ݅.

ᩑǍḡᩎᯙᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽۵ࠥᝍԕǍ෪ᖒᔑḡaฯᯕᇥ⡍⦹Ł

ᯩ۵ᯕᮁಽࠥಽ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒᯕ⡎ᖅᨱ≉᧞⦽Ǎ᳑ಽ⩶ᖒࡹᨕ

ᯩ݅. ᝅᔍಡಽ2005֥3ᬵၽᔾ⦽⡎ᖅಽ٩ʙၙҥ్ḱᨱ᮹⦽

Ʊ☖ᔍŁa ᯨ঑௝ ၽᔾ⦹ᩍ ᯝၹ ᜽ၝ, ᫙ǎᯙ šŲ~ əญŁ

ᗭႊݡᬱ॒6໦ᯕᇡᔢᮥݚ⦹ᩡ݅. 2010֥3ᬵ10ᯝᨱ۵⡎ᖅᯕ

௝⧁ᙹࠥᨧ۵᧞5cm᮹٩ভྙᨱŁḡݡෝᵲᝍᮝಽ⇽ɝʙ

݅. ᇡᔑ᜽᪡Ğₑᮡ࠺Ǎᦩ₞ษᮥ, q⃽Ł}, ྜྷอʼnษᮥ, ᕽݡᝁ

࠺Τษᮥ᯦Ǎ॒᜽ԕŁḡݡ᪡ᔑᅖࠥಽ۵ྜྷುᇡᔑ⧎4ᇡࢱ

ᦿ᪶ᅖ8₉ᖁࠥෝእ೐⧕᜽ԕ37Ŕᨱᕽ₉పᬕ⧪ᮥ☖ᱽ⧩݅.

2011֥2ᬵ14ᯝᇡᔑ᜽ᗭႊᅙᇡᨱ঑෕໕٩ʙƱ☖ᔍŁ8Õᯕ

᪅ᱥ 6᜽ 30ᇥĞ Ḳᵲ ၽᔾ⦹ᩍ 9໦ᮥ ʕɪ ᯕᘂ⦹ᩡ݅. ੱ⦽

ḡӽ20֥࠺ᦩᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽᮹ᱢᖅప⇵ᯕෝᔕ⠕ᅕ໕əኩࠥ᪡

᧲ᯕᱱ₉᷾a⦹Łᯩ݅. ᯕ۵ᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽a޵ᯕᔢ⡎ᖅ᮹ᦩᱥḡ ݡaࢁᙹᨧᮭᮥ᮹ၙ⦹Ł࠺᜽ᨱᖅ⧕⦝⧕ᱡq⪽࠺ၰᱢ᮲܆ಆ

⨆ᔢᮥ ᭥⦽ ݡ᮲ႊᦩ᮹ ⦥᫵ᖒᯕ ݡࢱࡹŁ ᯩᮭᮥ ᮹ၙ⦽݅.

ᅙ ᩑǍ۵ ɚ⦽ʑ⬥ ᵲ ⡎ᖅᨱ ᮹⦽ ࠥ᜽᮹ ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎᮥ

ᖁᱶ⦹ʑ᭥⧕ᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅᵲᵝ᫵⦝⧕᜽ᖅᯙࠥಽ, ✚⯩Łḡݡ ᨱ᭥⊹⦽ǎḡࠥಽၰᔑᅖࠥಽ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒᮥᵲᝍᮝಽᩑǍෝ

ḥ⧪⦹ᩡ݅. Ʊ☖ᔍŁၽᔾኩࠥa׳ᮡḡᩎࠥಽ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒᮥ

☖⧕ᩩᔢ᭥⨹ḡᩎᮥ⇵ᱶ⦹Łࠥ⇽ࡽḡᩎॅᮥݡᔢᮝಽ᭥⨹ࠥ

⠪aෝᝅ᜽⦹ᩡ݅. ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎॅ᮹᭥⨹ࠥḡᙹᨱ঑௝ᬑᖁ

᳑⊹ࡹᨕ᧝⧁᭥⨹ḡᩎᮥᱽᦩ⦹Łᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅᱢ᮲܆ಆv⪵

ᱶ₦ᙹพ ᜽ ə ʑⅩᯱഭᕽ ⪽ᬊࡹʑෝ ʑݡ⦽݅.

2. ʑ᳕ᩑǍŁₑၰႊჶು

2.1 ׆୼઴֜ճఝ

ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱݡ⦽ᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹ᱢ᮲ᩎపv⪵ᨱš⦽ʑ᳕ᩑ Ǎॅಽ۵ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᱢ᮲ݡ₦ᙹพᮥ᭥⦽aᯕऽ௝ᯙ}ၽᨱš⦽

ᩑǍ(ǎพ⪹Ğŝ⦺ᬱ,2008)aḥ⧪ࡽၵᯩᮝ໑, ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱ঑௝

ᝍ⪵ࢁäᮝಽᩩᔢࡹ۵ᵝ᫵ᔍᔢ(events)ᄥᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹≉᧞

əญŁ ᬑญӹ௝᮹ ḡᩎᄥ ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ ≉᧞ᖒᮥ ⠪a⧁ ᙹ ᯩ۵

ḡ⢽}ၽŝə⪽ᬊႊᦩᨱݡ⦽ᩑǍ(ᮁaᩢŝʡᯙᧁ, 2008) ॒ᯕ

ᯩ݅. ੱ⦽⪮ᙹᰍ⧕ෝᵲᝍᮝಽ✚ᱶḡᩎ(ᕽᬙ)᮹ḡᩎᦩᱥࠥෝ

⠪a⦽ᩑǍ(ᯕᕾၝ, 2006)aᯩᮝ໑, ᯕᔢʑ⬥ᨱݡእ⦹ᩍGIS ʑၹ᮹ᖁ┾ᱢ⪮ᙹႊᨕෝ᭥⦽᮹ᔍđᱶ᜽ᜅ▽ }ၽᮥḥ⧪⦽

ᩑǍ(ʡᄲ᜾, ᰆݡᬱ, 2009) ॒ᯕ ḥ⧪ࡽ ၵ ᯩ݅.

ᅙ ᩑǍ᮹ ᵝ᫵šᝍ ʑ⬥ᔍᔢᯙ ⡎ᖅᨱ ݡ⦽ ʑ᳕ ᩑǍॅᮡ

ᕾÕŝᯕ᳦ᬱ, 2005; ʡḥᩢ, 2001) ॒ᯕᯩᮝ໑, ⡎ᖅᨱݡእ⦹ʑ

᭥⦹ᩍŲᩎࠥಽ᮹ᱽᖅℕᱽǍ⇶ႊᦩၰᱽᖅ}ᖁႊ⨆ᮥ(ᝍʑ᪅, 2003) ᱽᨙ⦹ʑࠥ⦹ᩡ݅. ǎพႊᰍᩑǍᗭ(2003)۵ᱽᖅႊჶ᮹

ີە᨝᯲ᖒ, ᱽᖅᱽᖁᱶၰᔍᬊႊჶ, ᱽᖅᰆእǍእ, Ʊ☖☖ᱽʑ ᵡᱶพəญŁࠥᔢ༉᮹⬩ಉၰᱽᖅℕᱽǍ⇶ᨱݡ⦹ᩍᱽ᜽⦹ᩡ

݅. ᯕᔢ᮹ ᩑǍॅᮡ ᵝಽ ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱ ݡ⦹ᩍ ᱥǎᮥ ݡᔢᮝಽ

⦽ᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅᱥၹᨱÙ⊽≉᧞ᖒ⠪aੱ۵ᱢ᮲ݡ₦ᙹพᮥ

᭥⦽aᯕऽ௝ᯙၰ≉᧞ᖒḡ⢽}ၽᮥᝅ᜽⦹ᩡ݅. ᯕ۵✚ᱶ

ḡᩎᮥݡᔢᮝಽᇥᕾ⦹ᩡ݅⦹޵௝ࠥʑ⬥ᄡ⪵}ᄥᔍᔢᨱݡ⦹

ᩍ✚ᱶᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹≉᧞ᖒᇥᕾᮥ⦽ᔍಡ۵ᦥḢʭḡḥ⧪ࡽ

ᱢ᮲᮹ }ֱᅕ݅۵ ᔍ⬥⃹ญᨱ aʭᬕ ᩑǍॅᯕ ݡ݅ᙹᯕ݅.

2.2 ডැ౫ઊ஺લট୨

ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎ ᖁᱶᮥ ᭥⧕ ᝅᱽ ၽᔾ⦽ ᖅ⧕ ᔍಡෝ ᳑ᔍ⦽

đŝŁḡݡᨱ᭥⊹⦽ǎḡࠥಽ(ᯕ໕ࠥಽ) ੱ۵ᔑᅖࠥಽᨱᕽᵝಽ

ၽᔾ⦹ᩡ݅. ੱ⦽ࠥಽ᮹י໕đኺᨱ᮹⦽ၙҥ్ḱᨱ᮹⦽Ʊ☖ᔍ Ł᪡Ӻᔢᯕݡᇡᇥᯕᨩ݅. ᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽۵ࠥᝍᨱ᭥⊹⦽Ǎ෪ᖒ

ᔑḡॅಽᯙ⧕ ┡ ࠥ᜽᪡እƱ⦹ᩍ ࠥಽ᮹ ĞᔍaⓍŁ Łḡݡ

ᔑᅖࠥಽa⩶ᖒࡹᨕᯩᮝ໑ᯝ᳑పᯕᱢᮡᮭḡᨱࠥฯᮡࠥಽa

᭥⊹⦹Ł ᯩ۵ äᯕ ✚Ḷᯕ݅. ঑௝ᕽ ᖅ⧕ ၽᔾḡᩎᨱ ᭥⊹⦽

ࠥಽ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒॅᯙĞᔍࠥ, ⨆, ⢽Ł॒ᮥGIS ᵲℊᇥᕾᮥ

☖⦹ᩍ ᩩᔢ᭥⨹ḡᩎᮥ ᬑᖁ ᖁᱶ⦹ᩡ݅.

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Fig. 1. Spacial analysis of the roads(slope) ᵲℊ(overlay)᮹}ֱᮡ⦹ӹ᮹⍅ქญḡ᭥ᨱ݅ෙ⍅ქญḡෝ

᪍ಅ״Ł ࢱ ⍅ქญḡᨱ ӹ┡ӽ ⩶ᔢॅ e᮹ šĥෝ ᇥᕾ⦹۵

äᯕ݅. ᵲℊ᮹ʑ܆ᮡⓍíᖙaḡಽӹ٥ᨕᅝᙹᯩ݅. ℌṙ, ᵲℊᮥ☖⧕⩶ᔢॅe᮹Ŗešĥෝ❭ᦦ⧁ᙹᯩ݅. ࢹṙ, ݅᧲⦽

ߑᯕ░ᄁᯕᜅಽᇡ░ᇥᕾᱢᯙᱶᅕෝ⇵⇽⧁ᙹᯩ݅. ᖬṙ, ᔩಽᬕ

aᖅᯕӹᯕುၰ᜽ဍ౩ᯕᖹᮥ☖⧕อᯝᨕਅᔍÕᯕᯝᨕӽ݅໕

əđŝaᨕਜíࢁäᯙaᨱݡ⦽ᱶᅕෝ⇵⇽⦹۵༉ߙย᯲ᨦᮥ

ᙹ⧪⧁ᙹᯩ݅. ᅙᩑǍᨱᕽ۵ᵲℊ᮹ʑ܆ᵲᖙჩṙʑ܆ᮥ

⪽ᬊ⦽ äᮝಽ ⡎ᖅᨱ ≉᧞⦹Ł ๅᬑ ၝq⦽ ḡᩎᮥ ᖁᱶ⦹ʑ

᭥⦽ၝqࠥ༉ߙยᮥᖅᱶ⦹Łᵲℊʑ܆ᮥ⪽ᬊ⦹ᩍᇥᕾ⦽݅.

2.3 ౫ઊ஺લ଍෠ܑඌԧ

ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎᨱݡ⦽᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aෝ᭥⧕᭥⨹᫵ᯙᮥݡᄡ⦹۵

⠪aᯙᯱෝᖁᱶ⦹Łᯙᯱᄥ✚ᖒᨱ঑௝(⾆, ⾈) ʑ⪙ෝᇡᩍ⦽݅.

ᯕ۵ḡᩎᦩᱥࠥ}ֱ᮹᭥⨹ᖒḡᙹෝᄡᬊ⦽äᮝಽ⠪aᯙᯱॅ

᮹᭥⨹ࠥ᪡ᱡqᖒᮥӹ┡ԙ݅. ḡᩎᦩᱥࠥ}ֱᮡǎԕᗭႊႊᰍ ℎ(2005), ᯱᩑᰍ⧕ݡ₦ჶ॒ᨱᕽ ᯕᬊࡹŁ ᯩᮝ໑, ᯕ₞⯍ ᫙ (2006)۵ᦩᱥࠥ᪡᭥⨹ࠥ۵ᕽಽᩑšࡹᨕᯩᮝ໑, ᭥⨹ࠥa׳ᮝ ໕ᦩᱥࠥaԏᦥḡŁ, ᭥⨹ࠥaԏᮝ໕ᦩᱥࠥa׳ᦥḱᮝಽḡᩎ ᦩᱥࠥ⠪aෝ᭥⧕ḡᩎ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aaᯕᬊࢁᙹᯩ݅Ł⦹ᩡ݅.

ੱ⦽ḡᩎᦩᱥࠥ⠪a௡᭥⨹ ⧎༊ᄥ᫵ᯙॅᮥ᳑⧊⦽᭥⨹ࠥᨱ

ᱡqᖒᮥ Łಅ⦽ äᯕ௝Ł ᱶ᮹⦹ᩡ݅.

⠪aᯙᯱᄥaᵲ⊹ᔑᱶᮡĥ⊖ᇥᕾʑჶ(AHP)ᮥᔍᬊ⦹ᩡ݅.

AHP۵݅ᙹݡᦩᨱݡ⦽݅໕ᱢ⠪aʑᵡᮥ☖⦽᮹ᔍđᱶḡᬱ

ႊჶ᮹⦹ӹಽ, Thomas L. SaatyƱᙹa1980֥ᨱၽ⢽⦽םྙ

“The Analytic Hierarchy Process”ᨱᕽ⃹ᮭᱽ₞ࡹᨩ݅. ᯕʑჶ

ᮡᖙĥbǎ᮹ᱶᇡʑšŝʑᨦᨱᕽᮁᬊ⦹í⪽ᬊࡹŁᯩᮝ໑, bݡᦩ᮹ᵲ᫵ࠥෝᔑ⇽⦹۵ႊჶᮝಽᕽə⊂ᱶ⃺ࠥa݅᧲⦽

݅ʑᵡ(Multiple-criteria)᮹᮹ᔍđᱶྙᱽෝĥ⊖⪵⦹ᩍ⧕đ⦹

۵ߑᱢ⧊⦹݅. ᅙᩑǍᨱᕽ۵⠪aᯙᯱᄥaᵲ⊹ෝᔑᱶ⦹ʑ᭥⦽

ᙹ݉ᮝಽ ᔍᬊࡹᨩ݅.

3. ᖅ⧕᭥⨹ḡᩎ: ǎḡࠥಽ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒᨱݡ⦽ᵲℊᇥᕾ

ᩑǍḡᩎᯙ ᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽۵ Łࠥ 500m ԕ᫙᮹ Ǎ෪ᖒ ᔑḡa

ࠦพᱢᮝಽᇥ⡍⦹Łᩍʑᕽጸᨕӹ᪉ᔑbᮡ᪥อ⦽Ğᔍಽᕽ

⧕ᦩᨱ༑᯦⦹Łᯩ۵ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒᮥaḡŁᯩ݅. ভྙᨱࠥᝍ

ᗮᵝ┾ၰ⦺ƱəญŁࠥಽ॒ᯕᯱᩑᱢᮝಽĞᔍḡ᭥ᨱ᭥⊹⦹í

ࡹᨩŁᯕ۵ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱ᮹⧕ᝍ⪵ࡹŁᯩ۵ᯕᔢʑ⬥ॅᵲ⪚⦽ŝ

⡎ᖅಽ ᯙ⦽ ᖅ⧕ᨱ ≉᧞⧁ ᙹၷᨱ ᨧ݅.

3.1 լॷܑंজ

࠺ᱩʑ᮹ԏᮡʑ᪉ᨱ⡎ᖅᯕၽᔾ⦽݅໕ᬑญ۵ᬑᖁᱢᮝಽ

ࠥಽđኺ᭥⨹ᨱݡ⦹ᩍᬑಅ⧁äᯕ݅. ޵ᬒᯕי໕ᯕ᨝ᨕᯩ۵

ᔢ┽ᨱĞᔍࠥaⓍ݅໕ə᭥⨹ᖒᮡ႑aࢁäᯕ݅. ⦹ḡอࠥಽ᮹

י໕đኺŝ‘Ğᔍࠥ’᪡᮹ᔢššĥᨱš⦽ᩑǍ۵ᦥᛞíࠥ₟ᦥ

ᅝᙹᨧᨩ݅. ভྙᨱ“ࠥಽ᮹ᝁᖅੱ۵}ప⦹Ñӹᯱ࠺₉ᱥᬊࠥ

ಽෝḡᱶ⦹۵Ğᬑəࠥಽ᮹Ǎ᳑ၰ᜽ᖅᨱᱢᬊࡹ۵↽ᗭ⦽᮹

š⦽Ƚ⊺ⷣ᮹᳦݉Ğᔍእᮉᮥᖅ⧕᜽᭥⨹ḡᩎᖁᱶᨱᯩᨕ

Ğᔍࠥ᭥⨹ʑᵡᮝಽᱢᬊ⦹ᩡ݅. Łḡݡ᮹ǎḡࠥಽ᪡ᔑᅖࠥಽ ǎḡࠥಽ(ᔑḡ)᮹Ğᬑᖅĥᗮࠥ60(km/H), ↽ݡ᳦݉Ğᔍෝ14%

೅ ᱽ⦽⦹Ł ᯩ݅.

Ğᔍࠥᇥᕾ᜽ᗭ⩶₉ࠥ᮹ǎḡࠥಽ(ᔑḡ)ෝʑᵡᮝಽ⦽᳦݉

Ğᔍእᮉ14%ෝ᭥⨹ʑᵡᮝಽᔍᬊ⦹ᩡ݅. əᯕᮁ۵ᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽

᮹ࠥᝍᇡᨱ᭥⊹⦽Ǎ෪ᖒᔑḡಽᩑđࡹ۵ݡᇡᇥ᮹ࠥಽॅᮡ

ǎḡࠥಽಽᩑđࡹᨕᯩŁᝅᱽ⡎ᖅಽᯙ⦽ᖅ⧕ၽᔾ⦝⧕ḡᩎᯕ

Łḡݡᨱ ᭥⊹⦽ ǎḡࠥಽ ၰ ᔑᅖࠥಽᯕʑ ভྙᯕ݅.

Fig. 1ᮡ᳦݉Ğᔍ14%ෝʑᵡᮝಽᩑǍḡᩎ᮹ࠥಽa᭥⊹⦽

໕(Raster Data)ᮥ Reclassify(14%Ⅹŝ:1, 14%ᯕ⦹:0)⦹Ł, Raster Calculator᮹“*” Œ⦹ʑᩑᔑᯱෝᔍᬊ⦹ᩍᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽

ࠥಽᱥℕ᮹௹ᜅ░ߑᯕ░᪡ᇥᕾ⦽đŝᯕ݅. əฝ1ᨱᕽዉeᔪ ᮝಽ⢽⩥ࡽᇡᇥᯕࠥಽa᭥⊹⦽ḡᩎ᮹⠪ɁĞᔍࠥa14%ෝ

Ⅹŝ⦽ ᇡᇥᯕ໑, ə ᇥ⡍ෝ ᔕ⠕ᅕ໕ ᇡᔑ᮹ ࠥᝍᨱ ᔑᰍ⦹Ł

ᯩ۵Ǎ෪ᖒᔑḡᵝᄡᮥᵲᝍᮝಽᇥ⡍⦹Łᯩᮭᮥ⪶ᯙ⧁ᙹ

ᯩ݅.

3.2 ේࢫඝճंজ

י໕ᯕđኺࡹ۵⩥ᔢᨱᩢ⨆ᮥၙ⊹۵᫵ᗭॅಽ۵᪉ࠥ, ᜖ࠥ,

(4)

Fig. 3. overlay analysis of the roads(slope, aspect, elevation) Fig. 2. spacial analysis of the roads(aspect, elevation)

ၵ௭, ԁᦉəญŁࠥಽ᮹ᰍḩ॒ᯕ᫙ᨱࠥฯᮡᄡᙹॅᯕᝅᰍ⦹Ł

ᯩ݅. ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎᮥᖁᱶ⧉ᨱᯩᨕə᫵ᗭॅŝၡᱲ⦽šಉᯕ

ᯩ۵‘⨆’ŝ‘⢽Ł’ෝᇥᕾ⦽đŝFig. 2᪡zᮡđŝෝ᨜ᨩ݅.

ࠥಽa᭥⊹⦽ ḡ⩶ŝ ႊ⨆ᨱ঑௝ ᮭḡ᮹ ⪹Ğᯕ⩶ᖒࡹ໑, ᯕ۵ᯝ᳑ᨱ᮹⧕ᩕᨱթḡෝ᨜۵ᗮࠥᅕ݅ݡʑᵲᮝಽᩕᨱթḡ

ෝዝᦸʑ۵ᗮࠥa዁෕ʑভྙᨱ٩ᯕ᪵ᮥভי໕đኺᯕၽᔾ⧁

⪶ශᯕ ׳ᮡ äᯕ ᔍᝅᯕ݅. ᩑǍḡᩎ᮹ ࠥಽ᮹ ⨆ᮥ ᇥᕾ⦹ʑ

᭥⧕ᕽ Ğᔍࠥ᪡ ษ₍aḡಽ Reclassify᪡ Raster calculatorෝ

ᯕᬊ⦹ᩡ݅. ⨆᮹᭥⨹ʑᵡᮝಽ۵ᔍႊ᭥ᵲᇢ⨆ŝəӹນḡෝ

ᱽ᫙⦹۵ႊჶᮝಽᇥᕾ⦹ᩡ݅. Fig. 2(᳭)ᨱᕽࠥಽ᮹⨆ᇥᕾđŝ

ෝᔕ⠕ᅕ໕, Ğᔍࠥ᪡ษ₍aḡಽǍ෪ᖒᔑḡෝᵲᝍᮝಽࠥಽ᮹

׳ᯕaɪĊ⯩ᄡ⪵⦹Ł⨆ᨱ঑ෙᮭḡa⩶ᖒࡹᨕᯩᮭᮥ⪶ᯙ

⧁ ᙹ ᯩ݅.

⢽Ł᮹Ğᬑ, ࠥಽ᮹׳ᯕᄡ⪵ᨱ঑௝᪉ࠥaݍ௝ḡ۵ߑ, ʑ᪉ qශ(air temperature lapse rate)ᮡ ݡʑǭ ԕᨱᕽ ḡǍಽᇡ░

ມᨕḩᙹಾʑ᪉ᯕਉᨕḡ۵እᮉᮥั⦹໑ݡඹǭᦩᨱᕽ۵⠪Ɂ

100mݚ0.5⿙0.6ⳃԏᦥḥ݅. ⦽⠙, ḡ⩶ᯕ׳ᮡŔᨱ᳕ᰍ⦽݅Ł

⧕ᕽΎי໕đኺᯕၽᔾ⦹۵äᮡᦥܩ݅. ࠺ᱩʑᨱḡ⩶ᯕԏᮡ

ᰆᗭᨱᕽ۵Ԫʑ᪉ࠥaᱶℕࢉᮝಽđኺᯕ዁෕íᯝᨕԁᙹࠥ

ᯩ݅. ⦹ᩍ࠺ᱩʑ⪚⦽ੱ۵⡎ᖅၽᔾ᜽ࠥಽ᮹⢽Łᨱ঑௝

᭥⨹ʑᵡᮥᔑᱶ⦹۵äᮡྕญa঑ෙ݅. ⦹ḡอᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽᮹

ḡ⩶ᱢ ✚ᖒᮝಽᕽ ⢽Łෝ ᔕ⠕ᅕ໕ 100m ၙอ᮹ Ǎᖒእa

43.9%, 100ⴇ200m ᔍᯕ᮹Ǎᖒእa16.2%, əญŁ200m Ⅹŝ᮹

Ǎᖒእa39.9%ෝ₉ḡ⦹Łᯩ݅. GISෝ⪽ᬊ⦹ᩍ⪶ᯙ⦽đŝ,

ࠥᝍ᮹ᵝeᖁࠥಽᨱᕽbḡᩎ᮹ᩑđࡹ۵ᅕ᳑eᖁࠥಽၰǎḡ

ࠥಽa᭥⊹⦽⢽Ł۵100ⴇ200m ᔍᯕᨱݡᇡᇥ⡍⧉ࡹ۵äᮝಽ

⪶ᯙ⦹ᩡ݅. ࠺ᱩʑ ⪚⦽ ၰ ⡎ᖅಽ ᯙ⦽ ᖅ⧕᭥⨹ḡᩎ ᇥᕾᮥ

᭥⦹ᩍᅙᩑǍᨱᕽ۵ ⢽Ł᮹᭥⨹ʑᵡᮝಽǎḡࠥಽෝݡᇡᇥ

⡍⧉⦹Ł ᯩ۵ ⢽Łჵ᭥(100ⴇ200m)ෝ ə ʑᵡᮝಽ ᖅᱶ⦹ᩍ

ᇥᕾ⦹ᩡ݅. Fig. 2(ᬑ).

3.3 ডැ౫ઊ஺લট୨

ᦿᕽ ࠥಽa ᭥⊹⦽ ḡᩎ᮹ ḡ⩶ᱢ ✚ᖒॅ Ğᔍ, ⨆ əญŁ

⢽Łᨱݡ⦹ᩍᖅ⧕᭥⨹ʑᵡᮥᖅᱶ⦹ŁGIS᮹Spatial analyst

⚕ᮥᯕᬊ⦹ᩍᇥᕾ⦹ᩡ݅. Fig. 3ᮡᦿᕽḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒ(Ğᔍ, ⨆,

⢽Ł)ॅ᮹ᇥᕾđŝsᮥ᯦ಆߑᯕ░ಽ⦹ᩍᵲℊᇥᕾᮥḥ⧪⦽

đŝᯕ݅.

ᵲℊᇥᕾđŝᖅ⧕᭥⨹ḡᩎᮝಽᖁᱶࡽŔᮡⅾ41}ḡᩎᯕ໑, ᵝಽ Ǎ෪ᖒ ᔑḡ ᵝᄡᮥ ᵲᝍᮝಽ ᇥ⡍⦹Ł ᯩᮭ ⪶ᯙ ⧁ ᙹ

ᯩ݅. ੱ⦽ᖁᱶࡽḡᩎॅ᮹☁ḡᯕᬊ⩥⫊ᮥᯙ░֘ḡࠥᔍᯕ✙

(օᯕქḡࠥ)ෝᯕᬊ⦹ᩍ᳑ᔍ⦽đŝݡᇡᇥᯕᵝ┾ŝᦥ❭✙

׳ᮡḡᩎᯥᮥ᮹ၙ⦽݅. Table 1(ᇡಾₙ᳑)۵ᖅ⧕᭥⨹ḡᩎᮝಽ

ᖁᱶࡽ 41} ḡᩎ᮹ ᭥⊹᪡ ⦺Ʊॅᮥ ᱶญ⦽ äᯕ݅.

ᖁᱶࡽ᭥⨹ḡᩎॅᮡݡᇡᇥǍ෪ᖒᔑḡᨱ᭥⊹⦽100m ᯕᔢ ᮹Łḡݡಽ࠺ᱩʑ⡎ᖅᯕၽᔾ⧁ĞᬑḢᰆᯙŝ⦺ᔾॅ᮹ᯕ࠺ᨱ

ᰁᰍᱢ᭥⨹ᮥaḡŁᯩᮭᯕᇥ໦⦹݅. ᩑǍḡᩎᯙᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽۵

ḡ⩶ᱢ ✚ᖒᮝಽ ᯙ⧕ ᵝ┾ḡᩎ ၰ ⦺Ʊa ᯱᩑᱢᮝಽ Ğᔍḡ

᭥ᨱ᭥⊹⦹íࡹᨩŁ, ᯕ۵ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᨱ঑ෙᯕᔢʑ⬥, ᷪ⡎ᖅಽ

ᯙ⦽ ᖅ⧕ᨱ ≉᧞⧁ ᙹၷᨱ ᨧ݅.

4. ≉᧞ḡᩎᄥ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪a

ᦿᕽŁḡݡᨱ᭥⊹⦽ࠥಽḡᩎ᮹ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒॅᮥᵲℊᇥᕾ

⦹ᩍ ᖅ⧕ᨱ ≉᧞⧁ äᮝಽ ᩩᔢࡹ۵ ḡᩎॅᮥ ᖁᱶ⦹ᩡ݅. ᅙ

ᰆᨱᕽ۵ᖁᱶࡽḡᩎॅᯕᗮ⧕ᯩ۵⧪ᱶǍᩎ(࠺݉᭥)ᄥಽ᭥⨹ࠥ

⠪aෝᝅ᜽⦹Łəᱶࠥᨱ঑௝ᖅ⧕ݡእᬑᖁᱢᮝಽ᳑⊹ࡹᨕ᧝

⧁ ḡᩎॅᮥ ᱽ᜽⦹Łᯱ ⦽݅.

(5)

Table 1. The results of the overlay analysis

No. gu dong facilities inducing population concentration(School-based) 1 Buk-gu Mandeok 1-dong Elementary school(3 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(1 place) 2 Buk-gu Mandeok 3-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places)

3 Buk-gu Deokcheon 3-dong Elementary school(1 places)

4 Buk-gu Gupo 1-dong Elementary school(1 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(1 places), University(1 places)

5 Yeonje-gu Geoje 2-dong Elementary school(1 places), Middle school(1 places)

6 Dongnae-gu Sajik 2-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(3 places) 7 Dongnae-gu Oncheon 3-dong Elementary school(3 places), Middle school(2 places)

8 Geumjeong-gu Bugok 4-dong Middle school(1 places), High school(1 place)

9 Geumjeong-gu Bugok 3-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(2 places), High school(3 places) 10 Geumjeong-gu Geumsa-dong Elementary school(1 places), Middle school(1 places)

11 Haeundae-gu Bansong 2-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(2 places)

12 Haeundae-gu Jwa 2-dong Elementary school(3 places), Middle school(2 places), High school(1 places) 13 Haeundae-gu Jwa 3-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(2 places), High school(1 places) 14 Suyeong-gu Millak-dong Elementary school(2 places)

15 Yeonje-gu Yeonsan 8-dong Elementary school(3 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(2 places), University(1 places)

16 Jin-gu Yangjeong 2-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(2 places), University(2 places)

17 Yeonje-gu Yeonsan 3-dong Elementary school(1 places)

18 Jin-gu Gaya 3-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(1 places), University(1 places)

19 Sasang-gu Jurye 3-dong Elementary school(1 places), Middle school(2 places), University(2 places) 20 Sasang-gu Hakjang-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle School(1 places), High School(1 places) 21 Sasang-gu Eomgung-dong Elementary school(3 places), Middle school(1 places)

22 Saha-gu Goejeong 4-dong Elementary school(1 places), Middle school(1 places) 23 Saha-gu Dadae 2-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(2 places) 24 Saha-gu Jangnim 2-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places)

25 Saha-gu Dadae 1-dong Elementary school(4 places), Middle school(2 places), High school(1 places) 26 Saha-gu Jangnim 1-dong Elementary school(1 places), High school(1 places)

27 Seo-gu Nambumin 2-dong Middle school(1 places)

28 Saha-gu Gamcheon 1-dong Elementary school(3 places), Middle school(3 places), High school(3 places) 29 Seo-gu Nambumin 1-dong Elementary school(1 places)

30 Seo-gu Ami-dong Middle school(1 places)

31 Seo-gu Seodaesin 3-dong Elementary school(1 places) High school(2 places)

32 Dong-gu Choryang 2-dong

33 Yeongdo-gu Dongsam 1-dong Elementary school(4 places), Middle school(4 places), High school(3 places), University(1 places)

34 Yeongdo-gu Cheonghak 2-dong Elementary school(1 places) 35 Yeongdo-gu Bongnae 2-dong Elementary school(1 places)

36 Yeongdo-gu Dongsam 2-dong Elementary school(1 places), High school(1 places)

37 Nam-gu Yongdang-dong Elementary school(1 places), Middle school(1 places), High school(1 places), University(1 places)

38 Nam-gu Munhyeon 3-dong High school(1 places)

39 Jin-gu Danggam 4-dong Elementary school(2 places), High School(1 places)

40 Sasang-gu Gwaebeop-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places), University(1 places) 41 Sasang-gu Jurye 2-dong Elementary school(2 places), Middle school(1 places), High School(1 places),

University(2 places)

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Table 2. Factors affecting snowfall

factors description of factors

natural Different degree of risk, depending on topogra- phical characteristics of roads located

past damage Existing snow damage the affected areas are more likely recurrence

social

Densely populated areas have potential to cause the damage such as paralyzed traffic and car accidents.

Snow damage is expected to be greater in the area where is located the facility causing floating population

facilities

Degree of risk is different depending on the type of road and degree of aging

Amount of snow removal material stocked, location and retaining equipments is important

administration

Snow damage can be reduced through regional mitigation efforts, preparedness and recovery measures.

1) Pusan Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters. (2005, 2010). “Natural Disaster Relief in Winter”

2) Seoul Development Institute, 2006. “Development of the Regional Safety Assesment Model in Seoul.”

Table 3. Assessment factors of vulnerable areas

factors description

natural

slope average slope(%) aspect average of north facet(%) elevation average elevation(m) social pop. density people/km2

facilities the number of person

adaptation

snowbox for

removal the number of snowbox(EA) gov. employees the number of gov. employees

Table 4. Description of assessment factors

factors description of data collection slope Calculate average slope (GIS, Spatial analysis) aspect Calculate the ratio of eh northbound

(GIS, Spatial analysis) elevation Calculate the average elevation

(GIS, Spatial analysis)

pop. density Refer to “2009 Statistical Yearbook”

facilities examine the total number of students in each schools snowbox Refer to “2010 Busan the winter natural disasters

comprehensive measures”

gov. employees Investigate the number of civil servants by 213 administration dong, Busan

4.1 ඌԧ଴ୀট୨ࢫୀ߹৤ு

4.1.1 ডැ଍෠૬଴

ᖁᱶࡽᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎᄥ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aෝ⦹ʑ᭥⧕ᕽ۵⡎ᖅၽᔾ

᜽ᖅ⧕ᨱᩢ⨆ᮥၙ⊹۵᫵ᯙॅᮥᖁᱶ⦹Ł, ᯕॅᮥݡ⢽⧁ᙹ

ᯩ۵ᯙᯱෝࠥ⇽⦹ᩍ᧝⦽݅. Table 2ᮡᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽᮹⡎ᖅ⦝⧕ᔍ ಡ᳑ᔍđŝ᪡šಉྙ⨭ᮥ☁ݡಽ᭥⨹᫵ᯙॅᮥⓍí᭥⨹ᖒ(⾆) ŝ ᱡqᖒ(⾈)ᮝಽ Ǎᇥ⦹Ł ᰍᱶญ⦽ äᯕ݅.

ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎ᮹᭥⨹ࠥෝ⠪a⦹ʑ᭥⦽᫵ᯙᄥᯙᯱ۵ᖅ⧕⦝

⧕ᔍಡ᳑ᔍᯱഭෝ☁ݡಽᯙᯱᖁᱶᬱ⊺ŝᯱഭ᮹Ǎाᬊᯕᖒᮥ

á☁⦹ᩍ, Table 3᪡zᯕᖁᱶ⦹ᩡ݅. Table 2᮹᜽ᖅᱢ᫵ᯙᨱᕽ

ࠥಽ᮹⩶┽ၰי⬥⪵ᱶࠥᨱݡ⦽ߑᯕ░۵ᯱഭ᮹Ǎाᯕᨕಅᬭ

ᱽ᫙⦹ᩡŁ, ⧪ᱶᱢᯙ᫵ᯙᮡᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽a2005֥ࠥ⡎ᖅᯕ⬥

᜽ℎ᮹ᵝࠥಽbǍᄥಽᖅ⧕ݡ₦ษಉᯕḥ⧪ࡹᨩᮝӹᦥḢʭḡ

əᙹᵡᯕၙእ⦹ᩍᅙᩑǍᨱᕽ۵⧕ݚ࠺᮹Ŗྕᬱᙹෝᱢ᮲

᫵ᯙ᮹ ⦹ӹಽ ݡℕ⦹ᩡ݅.

4.1.2 ୀ߹৤ு

᭥⨹ࠥ⠪a᮹ Ŗeᱢ ݉᭥۵ ᦿᕽ ᖁᱶ⦽ ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎॅᯕ

⡍⧉ࡹᨕᯩ۵ḡᩎ᮹࠺Ğĥෝʑᵡᮝಽ⠪a⦽݅. ᖁᱶࡽḡᩎॅ

ᮡࠥಽa᭥⊹⦽໕᮹ᯱᩑᱢ✚ᖒ(Ğᔍࠥ, ⨆, ⢽Ł)ᨱ᮹⦽ᇥᕾᯕ ᨩ݅໕, ᅙᰆᨱᕽ۵ᯱᩑᱢ᫵ᯙᐱอᦥܩ௝ᔍ⫭ᱢ᫵ᯙəญŁ

ᱢ᮲ ᫵ᯙ ॒ᮥ ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aᨱ ၹᩢ⦹ᩍ ⠪a⦹ᩡ݅. ঑௝ᕽ ᅙ

ᩑǍ۵ᖁᱶࡽᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎॅᯕ᭥⊹⦽࠺(⧪ᱶ࠺)ᮥŖe݉᭥ಽ

᭥⨹ࠥෝ⠪a⦹Ł᭥⨹ᱶࠥᨱ঑௝ᬑᖁᱢᮝಽ ᳑⊹ࡹᨕ᧝⧁

ḡᩎॅᮥᱽ᜽⦽݅. Table 4۵⠪aᯙᯱᄥᯱഭᙹḲႊჶᮥᱶญ⦽

äᯕ݅.

4.1.3 ඝஜฃ

b ⠪aᯙᯱॅᮡ ə ݉᭥ӹ ᵲ᫵ࠥa ݅෕ʑ ভྙᨱ ݉ᙽ⯩

⧊ᔑ⦹ᩍእƱ⧁ᙹᨧ݅. ঑௝ᕽᯙᯱsॅ᮹Ⓧʑ᪡݉᭥ᨱ঑ෙ

⠙₉ྙᱽෝ⧕ᗭ⦹ʑ᭥⧕ᕽ۵⢽ᵡ⪵ŝᱶᯕ⦥᫵⦹݅. ᅙᩑǍᨱ ᕽ۵ߑᯕ░᮹⢽ᵡ⪵ෝ᭥⧕⠙₉⊹(T score)ෝᔍᬊ⦹ᩡ݅. ⠙₉

⊹(イ㏘゗)۵⢽ᵡs(Z-score)ᨱᕽ⪹ᔑࡽsᮝಽəԕᬊᮡᦥ௹

ᙹ᜾ (1)ŝ z݅.

­Ƈ áćň

Î×ÞƖƇ àłß

â Ò× (1)

ᩍʑᕽ,

łá ć§ÎƇ á Îā§ ƖƇ , ňáöćć§ÎƇ á Îā§ ÞƖƇà łßÏ ᯕ݅.

(ī:༉Ḳ݉᮹Ⓧʑ,ŌƇ:}}ᯙ᮹s,ł:༉⠪Ɂ,ň:༉⢽ᵡ⠙₉)

(7)

Table 5. Standardization

Id. dong

natural factor social factor adaptation factor

slope aspect elevation pop. density facilities snowbox gov.employees

Z T Z T Z T Z T Z T Z T Z T

1 Mandeok 1-dong 0.64 56.43 0.84 58.36 1.53 65.27 -0.25 47.50 -0.25 47.49 0.16 51.56 -0.32 46.84 2 Mandeok 3-dong 2.02 70.18 1.53 65.27 3.14 81.36 0.17 51.74 -0.39 46.12 0.67 56.71 -0.68 43.24 3 Deokcheon 3-dong 1.51 65.09 1.89 68.90 0.91 59.08 0.42 54.24 -0.80 41.95 -0.80 42.00 0.40 54.04 4 Gupo 1-dong -0.64 43.61 1.07 60.65 -0.54 44.59 0.11 51.10 -0.53 44.74 -0.29 47.15 -1.04 39.63 5 Geoje 2-dong -0.40 45.97 0.32 53.23 -0.47 45.29 -0.57 44.33 -0.59 44.10 0.23 52.30 0.40 54.04 6 Sajik 2-dong 0.35 53.47 -1.09 39.13 0.80 58.04 0.34 53.41 0.27 52.65 0.08 50.83 0.04 50.44 7 Oncheon 3-dong -0.87 41.29 -1.16 38.37 -0.29 47.07 1.33 63.26 -0.12 48.83 -0.29 47.15 1.48 64.85 8 Bugok 4-dong -1.16 38.43 0.05 50.45 -1.07 39.33 1.92 69.16 -0.57 44.25 -0.95 40.53 -1.04 39.63 9 Bugok 3-dong 0.18 51.84 -0.45 45.51 0.15 51.53 -1.52 34.81 0.26 52.64 -0.87 41.26 -0.32 46.84 10 Geumsa-dong 0.18 51.84 -0.45 45.51 0.15 51.53 -1.56 34.45 -0.78 42.25 -0.95 40.53 1.84 68.45 11 Bansong 2-dong 0.53 55.26 -0.90 40.95 -0.10 49.05 -0.77 42.33 -0.37 46.31 0.45 54.50 2.20 72.05 12 Jwa 2-dong -0.79 42.10 -0.74 42.62 0.89 58.93 -0.90 40.99 0.31 53.11 1.99 69.95 0.76 57.64 13 Jwa 3-dong -0.59 44.12 -0.35 46.54 -0.51 44.93 1.91 69.12 0.02 50.17 -0.58 44.21 0.04 50.44 14 Millak-dong -2.08 29.19 -1.32 36.77 -1.21 37.88 0.33 53.27 -0.67 43.28 -0.14 48.62 0.40 54.04 15 Yeonsan 8-dong -1.85 31.52 -1.05 39.50 -1.47 35.31 0.68 56.76 0.23 52.27 -0.58 44.21 -0.68 43.24 16 Yangjeong 2-dong -1.80 31.99 1.11 61.11 -0.98 40.24 0.72 57.21 -0.13 48.72 -0.65 43.47 0.04 50.44 17 Yeonsan 3-dong -1.11 38.87 2.58 75.83 -0.67 43.28 1.36 63.61 -0.80 41.97 -0.21 47.88 -0.68 43.24 18 Gaya 3-dong 1.69 66.93 0.67 56.69 1.47 64.72 -0.74 42.60 2.44 74.44 -0.36 46.41 -0.68 43.24 19 Jurye 3-dong 0.21 52.13 0.95 59.54 0.99 59.88 -0.34 46.56 -0.42 45.82 3.10 80.98 -0.68 43.24 20 Hakjang-dong 0.48 54.83 2.14 71.43 -0.12 48.77 -1.35 36.54 -0.29 47.10 1.70 67.00 1.12 61.24 21 Eomgung-dong 0.36 53.63 0.38 53.83 0.60 55.98 -1.41 35.86 -0.22 47.79 1.85 68.47 0.04 50.44 22 Goejeong 4-dong 0.94 59.41 0.04 50.41 0.99 59.86 1.13 61.27 -0.67 43.26 -0.58 44.21 -1.04 39.63 23 Dadae 2-dong 0.10 51.04 -0.36 46.36 -0.45 45.46 -0.05 49.51 -0.29 47.12 -0.06 49.35 1.48 64.85 24 Jangnim 2-dong -0.07 49.28 -1.12 38.81 -1.01 39.91 0.20 52.02 -0.43 45.70 0.08 50.83 0.40 54.04 25 Dadae 1-dong 0.28 52.79 -0.07 49.32 -0.63 43.72 -0.38 46.16 0.32 53.17 -0.06 49.35 2.56 75.65 26 Jangnim 1-dong -0.81 41.92 -0.52 44.78 -1.03 39.68 -0.92 40.80 -0.65 43.51 -0.36 46.41 -0.32 46.84 27 Nambumin 2-dong -0.82 41.81 -0.18 48.20 -0.99 40.07 1.55 65.45 -0.79 42.09 -0.43 45.68 0.40 54.04 28 Gamcheon 1-dong 1.74 67.37 -1.11 38.88 0.35 53.54 -0.15 48.53 0.41 54.09 -0.43 45.68 -0.32 46.84 29 Nambumin 1-dong 0.36 53.58 -1.05 39.47 -0.57 44.34 0.94 59.43 -0.79 42.10 -0.87 41.26 -0.68 43.24 30 Ami-dong 0.28 52.80 -0.35 46.50 -0.36 46.41 0.55 55.48 2.44 74.43 -0.06 49.35 -0.32 46.84 31 Seodaesin 3-dong 0.64 56.43 0.84 58.36 1.53 65.27 -1.06 39.38 -0.47 45.28 -0.73 42.74 -1.04 39.63 32 Choryang 2-dong 2.02 70.18 1.53 65.27 3.14 81.36 1.03 60.28 -0.89 41.13 0.38 53.77 -0.68 43.24 33 Dongsam 1-dong 1.51 65.09 1.89 68.90 0.91 59.08 -0.47 45.33 0.79 57.93 0.52 55.24 1.84 68.45 34 Cheonghak 2-dong -0.64 43.61 1.07 60.65 -0.54 44.59 0.32 53.22 -0.73 42.74 -0.06 49.35 0.40 54.04 35 Bongnae 2-dong -0.40 45.97 0.32 53.23 -0.47 45.29 0.64 56.44 -0.82 41.80 -0.95 40.53 -1.04 39.63 36 Dongsam 2-dong 0.35 53.47 -1.09 39.13 0.80 58.04 -1.65 33.46 0.29 52.92 -0.95 40.53 -1.40 36.03 37 Yongdang-dong -0.87 41.29 -1.16 38.37 -0.29 47.07 -1.43 35.71 3.17 81.73 -0.73 42.74 -1.40 36.03 38 Munhyeon 3-dong -1.16 38.43 0.05 50.45 -1.07 39.33 0.89 58.88 -0.75 42.54 -0.73 42.74 -1.04 39.63 39 Danggam 4-dong 0.18 51.84 -0.45 45.51 0.15 51.53 0.78 57.85 -0.29 47.06 -0.36 46.41 -0.68 43.24 40 Gwaebeop-dong 0.18 51.84 -0.45 45.51 0.15 51.53 -0.85 41.54 0.99 59.88 -0.21 47.88 0.04 50.44 41 Jurye 2-dong 0.53 55.26 -0.90 40.95 -0.10 49.05 -0.96 40.39 2.55 75.51 3.02 80.24 0.04 50.44

Table 5(ᇡಾₙ᳑)ᮡ ⠪aᯙᯱᄥ sᮥ ⢽ᵡ⪵⦹Ł ⠙₉⊹ಽ

⪹ᔑ⦹ᩍ ᱶญ⦽ äᯕ݅.

4.2 ඌԧ଴ୀଭԧண౿ॺ୨

ᖅ⧕≉᧞ḡᩎ᮹᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aᨱᦿᕽ⠪a᫵ᯙᄥᯙᯱॅᨱݡ⦽

ᵲ᫵ࠥෝᔑᱶ⦹ʑ᭥⧕ĥ⊖ᇥᕾʑჶ(AHP)ᮥᔍᬊ⦹ᩡ݅. Fig.

(8)

Journal of the Korean Society of Civil Engineers

1084

Fig. 4. Hierarchy of assessment factors

Table 6. Survey data less than 10%(C.R.)

Survey asse.

factors

natural factors

social

factors adap. factors the number of

questionnaires 30 31 55 55

Table 7. Weight of assessment factors

level 1. factors level 2. factors weight Natural

Factors 0.620

Slope 0.674 0.418

Elevation 0.143 0.089

Aspect 0.183 0.113

Social

Factors 0.184 pop. density 0.462 0.085 Facilities 0.538 0.099 Adaptation

Factors 0.196 Sandbox 0.692 0.136

gov. employees 0.308 0.060

Fig. 5. Weight of assessment factors

4۵ĥ⊖ᱢᇥ⧕(hierarchy decomposition)ႊჶᮥᯕᬊ⦹ᩍᖅ⧕

᭥⨹ࠥᨱ š⦽ ᫵ᯙॅᮥ ĥ⊖ᱢᮝಽ ᇥඹ⦽ äᯕ݅.

ᝁ഑⧁ᙹᯩ۵ᵲ᫵ࠥෝᔑᱶ⦹ʑ᭥⧕šಉᱥྙaၰᝅྕ

ᱥྙaෝݡᔢᮝಽᖅྙ᳑ᔍෝᝅ᜽⦹ᩡ݅. ᱥྙaಽ۵ࠥ᜽ĥ⫮

ၰƱ☖əญŁʑ⬥ᄡ⪵šಉᱥྙaෝݡᔢᮝಽ⦹ᩡŁ, ᝅྕ

ᱥྙaಽ۵ᩑǍḡᩎᯙᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽᮹bǍℎᯱᩑᰍӽᨦྕݕݚ

ᯱ, ᔍᱥᰍ⧕ᩢ⨆⠪aᨦྕ᳦ᔍᯱəญŁᇡᔑḡႊĞₑℎࠥಽŝ

ၰࠥಽƱ☖Ŗ݉Ḣᬱॅᮥݡᔢᮝಽ᳑ᔍ⦹ᩡ݅. Table 6ᮡ᳑ᔍࡽ

ᖅྙᯱഭᵲᯝšᖒá᷾ᮥ☖⧕ᕽᙹᱢᙽ᭥ᨱྕญaᨧ۵, ᷪ

ᯝšᖒእᮉ(consistency ratio : C.R.) sᯕ10% ᯕԕᯙᯱഭᙹෝ

ᱶญ⦽ äᯕ݅.

ᯝšᖒእᮉ(œí«í)ᮡ ᦥ௹ ᙹ᜾ (2)᪡ z݅.

œí«í á ć«í¢íœí¢í á ć§ à Î Ł”ˆŸà §

Z ć«í¢Î (2)

ᩍʑᕽ, œí¢í : ᯝšᖒḡᙹ, «í¢í : ⪶ශḡᙹ, Ł”ˆŸ : ↽ݡ Łᮁs, § : ⧪಍᮹ Ⓧʑ ᯕ݅.

ᦿᕽᖅ⧕᭥⨹⠪a᫵ᯙၰᯙᯱॅ᮹ᯝšᖒá᷾ᮥ☖⧕⇵⇽

⦽ᯱഭෝĥ⊖ᇥᕾʑჶᨱᱢᬊ⦹ᩡ݅. ᯕভᯱഭ᮹ʑ⦹⠪Ɂᮥ

ᯕᬊ⦹ᩡᮝ໑, Table 7ᮡ⠪a᫵ᯙၰ ᯙᯱᄥᔢݡᱢᵲ᫵ࠥෝ

᳦⧊⦽ äᯕ݅.

ᖅ⧕᭥⨹ᨱݡ⦽᭥⨹ᮡᯱᩑᱢ᫵ᯙ, ✚⯩əᵲᨱᕽࠥĞᔍࠥ

aaᰆⓑ᭥⨹᫵ᯙᯥᮥᅕᩍᵡ݅. ᱢ᮲᫵ᯙ᮹ᱽᖅ⧉}ᙹ۵

᭥⨹ᮥᱡq᜽┅۵ᄡᙹಽ៉, ࠺ᱩʑ⡎ᖅ᜽ə⦝⧕ෝ↽ᗭ⪵

⦹۵ߑ ᵲ᫵ ᮹ၙa ᯩᮭᮥ ᮹ၙ⦽݅.

4.3 ডැ౫ઊ஺લ࣢଍෠ܑඌԧࢫ஺લ෮จ

ᅙᩑǍᨱᕽ۵ᖁᱶࡽḡᩎᄥ᭥⨹ࠥෝ⠪a⦹ʑ᭥⧕ᕽ⠪a᫵

ᯙᮥᯱᩑᱢ᫵ᯙ, ᔍ⫭ᱢ᫵ᯙəญŁᱢ᮲᫵ᯙᮝಽǍᇥ⦹Ł

b ᫵ᯙᄥ ⠪aᯙᯱෝ ᖁᱶ⦹ᩡ݅. ੱ⦽ b ⠪aᯙᯱᄥ ᵲ᫵ࠥ

ᔑᱶᮥ᭥⧕ĥ⊖ᇥᕾʑჶ(AHP)ᮥᯕᬊ⦹Łšಉᱥྙaၰᝅྕ

ݕݚᯱෝݡᔢᮝಽᖅྙ᳑ᔍෝᝅ᜽⦹ᩍ⠪aᯙᯱᄥaᵲ⊹ෝᔑ ᱶ⦹ᩡ݅. ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aႊჶᮡᕽᬙ᜽ᱶ}ၽᩑǍᬱ(2006)ᨱᕽḥ

⧪⦽“ᕽᬙ᜽ḡᩎᦩᱥࠥ⠪a”᮹“᭥⨹ᖒḡᙹ”ෝᅙᩑǍ᮹✚ᖒ ᨱ฿ࠥಾᄡᬊ⦹ᩍᖅ⧕᭥⨹ḡᩎ᮹ᬑᖁᙽ᭥ෝ⠪a⦹۵ߑᔍᬊ

⦹ᩡ݅.

᭥⨹ࠥḡᙹ = (3)

ķZᯱᩑᱢ᫵ᯙ + ĸ Z ᔍ⫭ᱢ᫵ᯙ ⲯĹZ ᱢ᮲᫵ᯙ

ᩍʑᕽ, ⱕ, ⱖ, ⱗ۵ ĥᙹಽ៉ ⠪a᫵ᯙᄥ aᵲ⊹ෝ ᮹ၙ⦽݅.

᜽ᖅᱢ᫵ᯙ᮹⠪aᯙᯱ‘ᱽᖅ⧉}ᙹ’۵ᖅ⧕᭥⨹᮹ᱡqᮥ᮹ၙ⧉

ᮝಽəʑ⪙۵‘-’ಽ⢽⩥⦹ᩡ݅. ੱ⦽b᫵ᯙॅ᮹⠪aᯙᯱॅᨱ

ݡ⦽ ĥᔑᮡ ᙹ᜾ (4)ŝ zᯕ ⧪಍᜾ᮝಽ ⢽⩥⧁ ᙹ ᯩ݅.

᭥⨹ࠥḡᙹ = (4) ÞķÎķÏķÐßĖ

Ę

ė

ఔ ጛ㎳ష ęě

Ě

âÞĸÎĸÏßÞ⛏ೃ᭗ጛ♷⛏∳⁻ à ÞĹß ÎĹÏßÞ❳⁻㒿୳Ⅿౌ᪋☧Ⅿ ß

(9)

Table 8. Risk assessment results for vulnerable areas

Id priority name risk index

2 1 Mandeok 3-dong 43.00

17 2 Yeonsan 3-dong 40.79

3 3 Deokcheon 3-dong 39.83

36 4 Dongsam 2-dong 39.06

27 5 Nambumin 2-dong 37.95

39 6 Danggam 4-dong 36.97

30 7 Ami-dong 36.15

18 8 Gaya 3-dong 35.94

1 9 Mandeok 2-dong 35.08

29 10 Nambumin 1-dong 32.47

41 11 Jurye 2-dong 32.44

6 12 Sajik 2-dong 32.20

35 13 Bongnae 2-dong 31.92

22 14 Goejeong 4-dong 31.70

21 15 Eomgung-dong 31.52

: : : :

Table 9. Natural factors of Mandeok 1-dong priority

No.1 spacial analysis road photos

1

slope 2010· 11· 24

aspect 2011· 01· 04

elevation

Table 10. Natural factors of Yeonsan 3-dong priority

No.2 spacial analysis road photos

2

slope 2010· 11· 24

aspect 2011· 01· 04

elevation

ķÎì ķÏì ķÐì ĸÎì ĸÏì ĹÎĹÏ ۵b⠪aᯙᯱᄥaᵲ⊹ෝᔍᬊ⦹

Łbᯙᯱ᮹sᮡ⢽ᵡᱱᙹᨱᕽ⪹ᔑࡽsᯙ⠙₉⊹ෝᔍᬊ⦽݅.

݅ᮭTable 8ᮡᖁᱶࡽᖅ⧕᭥⨹ḡᩎॅ᮹᭥⨹ࠥᨱ঑௝ᱶญ⦽

ä ᯕ݅.

᭥⨹ࠥ⠪ađŝᖅ⧕ᨱaᰆ≉᧞⦽ḡᩎᮡ᭥⨹ḡᙹ43.00᮹

‘อ޶3࠺’ŝ᭥⨹ḡᙹ40.79᮹‘ᩑᔑ3࠺’ᯕᖁᱶࡹᨩ݅. อ޶3࠺

᮹Ğᬑ႒᧲ᔑᇢ἞ᨱ᭥⊹⦹Łᯩᨕࠥಽ᮹Ğᔍࠥa׳Łݡᇡᇥ ᯕᮭḡᨱ⧕ݚ⦽݅. ੱ⦽ᯙǍၡࠥa13,611(໦/km2)ಽ┡࠺ᨱ

እ⧕׳ᮡ⠙ᯕŁᯙǍᮁᯙ᜽ᖅಽ۵޶᧲Ⅹ॒⦺Ʊ, ႒ᔑⅩ॒⦺Ʊ,

ᝁ޶ᵲ⦺Ʊ॒ᯕ᭥⊹⦹Łᯩᨕ⦺ᔾॅ᮹॒⦹Ʊ᜽eᨱƱ☖పᯕ

׳ᮡŔᮝಽᩩᔢࡽ݅. ᩑᔑ3࠺᮹Ğᬑ⠪ɁĞᔍࠥa35.85%,

⨆ᯕ 39.91%ᯕŁ ✚⯩, ᯙǍၡࠥa 21,495(໦/Km2)ᮝಽ 41}

(10)

ḡᩎᵲࢱჩṙಽ׳ᮡḡᩎᮝಽอ޶3࠺ŝእ᜘⦽⪹ĞᮥaḡŁ

ᯩ݅. Fig. 6ᮡ Table 8ᮥ ʑၹᮝಽ ⦹ᩍ ᭥⨹ࠥ ⠪a đŝ᮹

॒ɪᮥᯱᩑᇥඹჶ(Natural Breaks, Jenks)ᮥᯕᬊ⦹ᩍᇥඹ⦹Ł

ࠥ᜾⪵⦽ äᯕ݅.

Table 9, Table 10ᮡ᭥⨹ࠥḡᙹaaᰆ׳ᮡࢱḡᩎᨱݡ⦹ᩍ

GIS ᇥᕾၰ⩥ᰆݖᔍᔍḥᮥᱶญ⦽äᯕ݅. ࢱḡᩎᮡݡᇡᇥ

ࠥಽ᮹Ğᔍaɪ⦹ᩡŁ✚ᱶḡᩎॅᮡ₉పᮥᯕᬊ⦹޵௝ࠥᛞí

ᱲɝ⦹ʑᨕಅᬕᔢ┽ᩡ݅. ੱ⦽ᯙǍၡࠥa׳ŁⅩ·ᵲ·Ł॒⦺Ʊ

ၰݡ⦺Ʊa᭥⊹⦹Łᯩᨕ┡ḡᩎᨱእ⧕ᔢݡᱢᮝಽᮁ࠺ᯙǍa

׳ᮡ⠙ᯕᨩ݅. í݅aᝅᱽ٩ᯕ᪉2011֥1ᬵ4ᯝᨱ݅᜽⩥ᰆݖ ᔍෝ⦹ᩍᅕܩݡᔢḡᩎ᮹ࠥಽݡᇡᇥᯕ٩ᯕךḡᦫᮡᔢ┽ᩡᮝ ໑Ñ᮹༉ुࠥಽa2₉ᖁᯕ⦹ಽ⡎ᖅᯕԕฑ݅໕Ʊ☖ษእᨱ

᮹⦽ ⓑ ⪝௡ᮥ Ⅹ௹ ⧁ äᮝಽ ❱݉ࡽ݅.

5. đುၰᱶ₦ᱽᨙ

ᅙᩑǍᨱᕽ۵ᩍ్ʑ⬥ᄡ⪵ᔍᔢᵲ⡎ᖅᯕࠥ᜽ᨱၙ⊹۵

᭥⨹ᱶࠥෝӹ┡ԕʑ᭥⧕ᯱᩑᱢ᫵ᯙ, ᔍ⫭ᱢ᫵ᯙ, ᱢ᮲᫵ᯙ

॒ᮥ⠪a⦹ᩡ݅. ᯙǍaḲᵲࡹᨕᯩ۵ࠥ᜽۵ᔍ⫭ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹

ᩎ⧁ᯕๅᬑᵲ᫵⦹໑əʑ܆ᯕษእࢁĞᬑⓑ⪝௡ᮥⅩ௹⦹í

ࡽ݅. ᩑǍḡᩎᯙᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽۵ࠥᝍԕǍ෪ᖒᔑḡaฯᯕᇥ⡍⦹

Łᯩᨕࠥಽ᮹Ğᔍ, ⢽Ł, ⨆॒ḡ⩶ᱢ✚ᖒॅᯕ⡎ᖅᨱ≉᧞⦽

Ǎ᳑ಽ⩶ᖒࡹᨕᯩ݅. ᩎᔍᱢᮝಽĉᬙ℁ᖅ⧕aᱢᨩ޹┴ᯙḡ

⡎ᖅᨱݡ⦽ŁಅᨧᯕǍ෪ḡᨱ}ၽᯕḡᗮࡹᨕ᪵޹äᯕᔍᝅᯕ݅.

ə్ӹḡӽ20֥࠺ᦩ᮹ᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽ᱢᖅప⇵ᯕෝᔕ⠕ᅕ໕

əኩࠥ᪡᧲ᯕᱱ₉᷾a⦹Łᯩ݅. ᯕ۵ᇡᔑŲᩎ᜽a޵ᯕᔢ

⡎ᖅ᮹ᦩᱥḡݡaࢁᙹᨧᮭᮥ᮹ၙ⦹Ł࠺᜽ᨱᖅ⧕⦝⧕ᱡq

⪽࠺ ၰ ᱢ᮲܆ಆ ⨆ᔢᮥ ᭥⦽ ݡ᮲ႊᦩ᮹ ⦥᫵ᖒᯕ ݡࢱࢉᮥ

᮹ၙ⦽݅.

ᖅ⧕⦝⧕ෝᱡq᜽┅Ł⡎ᖅᱢ᮲܆ಆᮥ┅ᬑʑ᭥⧕ᕽ۵ຝᱡ

≉᧞ḡᩎᖁᱶၰ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪aaᖁ⧪ࡹᨕ᧝⦽݅. ᅙᩑǍ۵ᩑǍḡ ᩎԕ ࠥಽa ᭥⊹⦽ ḡ⩶ᱢ ✚ᖒ(Ğᔍࠥ, ⨆, ⢽Ł)ᮥ ᵲᝍᮝಽ

ᖅ⧕ᩩᔢ᭥⨹ḡᩎᮥᖁᱶ⦹Ł⧕ݚḡᩎ᮹᭥⨹ࠥෝ⠪a⧉ᮝಽ

ᱢ᮲ᱶ₦ᙹพ ᜽ ʑⅩᯱഭಽ ⪽ᬊࢁ ᙹ ᯩࠥಾ ⦹ᩡ݅.

ᩑǍđŝᨱ ݡ⦽ ⪽ᬊႊᦩᮝಽ۵ ℌṙ, ᰍ⧕ ݡ᮲ĥ⫮ ᙹพ

᜽ ᨕ۱ ḡᩎᮥ ᵲᱱᱢᮝಽ ᳑⊹⧁ äᯙaᨱ ݡ⦽ ᬑᖁᙽ᭥ෝ

ᱽ᜽⧁ᙹᯩ݅۵äᯕ݅. ᯕ۵ႊᰍᔍᨦ᮹⇵ḥŝ⚍ᯱᨱᯩᨕ

ྕᇥᄥ⦽ ᯱᬱԎእၰ ᜽⧪₊᪅ᨱ ݡ⦽᜽eᮥ ᱩ᧞⧁ ᙹᯩ۵

ʑ⫭ෝᱽŖ⦽݅. ࢹṙ, ᭥⨹ࠥ⠪ađŝᨱ᮹⧕ᙹพࡽᰆʑᱢᯙ

ႊᰍĥ⫮ᮡ⧕ݚḡᩎ᮹ᰍ}ၽᔍᨦၰʑၹ᜽ᖅᨱݡ⦽ᱶእ᜽

⪽ᬊࢁᙹᯩ݅. ⧎Ǎᱢᯙႊᰍĥ⫮ᮡࠥ᜽ĥ⫮᮹ႊᰍ᪡ᦩᱥᨱ

ݡ⦽ĥ⫮ᙹพ᜽ʑⅩᯱഭၹᩢࡹᨕℕĥᱢᯕ໑⧊ญᱢᯙᰍ}ၽ ᔍᨦŝʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹ᰍᱶእෝࠥ༉⧁ᙹᯩᮥäᯕ݅. šಉࠥ᜽ĥ⫮

ᮝಽ۵ʑၹ᜽ᖅᨱݡ⦽äᮝಽࠥ᜽šญĥ⫮᮹ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹ᖅ⊹·

ᱶእ}పᨱš⦽ĥ⫮əญŁʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹႑⊹᪡Ƚ༉, Ʊ☖⃹ญ ĥ⫮॒ᮥ⡍⧉⦹Łᯩ۵ḡǍ݉᭥ĥ⫮॒ᮥΞᮥᙹᯩ݅. ᦿᮝಽ

⡎ᖅᨱ᮹⦽ᖅ⧕ᐱอᦥܩ௝ࠥ᜽᮹ ʑၹ᜽ᖅ᮹ᱢ᮲ᩎపv⪵

₉ᬱᨱᕽ }ᄥ ʑ⬥ᔍᔢ ၰ ʑၹ᜽ᖅᨱࠥ ᔍᱥ ᭥⨹ࠥ ⠪a᪡

šಉࠥ᜽ĥ⫮ॅ᮹ᩑĥၰᄲ⧪ᯕᯕ൉ᨕᲙ᧝⧁äᯕ݅. ੱ⦽

ᯕ۵ḡᗮa܆⦽ၽᱥ᮹}ֱᱢ✡ᦩᨱᕽĥ⫮ࡹŁᝅ⧪ࡹᨕᲙ᧝

⧁ äᯕ݅.

qᔍ᮹ɡ

ᅙᩑǍ۵ᗭႊႊᰍℎᯱᩑᰍ⧕ᱡqʑᚁ}ၽᔍᨦ᮹ḡᬱᮝಽ

ᙹ⧪⦽‘ḡᩎ✚ᖒᮥŁಅ⦽ᰍ⧕ᩢ⨆ᇥᕾʑჶŁࠥ⪵’ [NEMA-

ᯱᩑ-2012-59-2012201]ŝᱽ᮹ ᖒŝ᯦ܩ݅.

References

Shim, J.-H., Lee, S.-H. (2008). “A study on the decision making for location selection of large-scale discount stores.” Journal of Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol. 28, No. 5D, pp. 705-712 (in Korean).

Lee, H.-Y., Shim, J.-H. (2011). Geographic information systems, Bobmunsa. pp. 306-322 (in Korean).

Lee, C.-H. (2006). Development of the regional safety assesment model in seoul, Seoul Development Institute (in Korean).

Ryu, G.-Y., Kim, I.-A. (2008). Development and application of a climate change vulnerability index, Korea Environment Institute (in Korean).

Myung, S.-J. (2009). Assessing vulnerability to climate change of the physical infrastructure in korea and developing adaptation strategies, Korea Environment Institure (in Korean).

Pusan Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters (2005).

Natural disaster relief in winter, 2005, Pusan Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters (in Korean).

Pusan Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters (2010).

Natural disaster relief in winter, 2010, Pusan Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters (in Korean).

KRIHS (2005). GIS application methods for national territorial disaster prevention, Korean Research Institute for Human Settlements (in Korean).

IPCC (2007). Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, Fourth Assess- ment Report : Climate Change 2007 (AR4).

IPCC (2001). The scientific basis, Third Assessment Report : Climate Change 2001 (TAR).

수치

Fig. 1. Spacial analysis of the roads(slope)ᵲℊ(overlay)᮹}ֱᮡ⦹ӹ᮹⍅ქญḡ᭥ᨱ݅ෙ⍅ქญḡෝ᪍ಅ״Ł ࢱ ⍅ქญḡᨱ ӹ┡ӽ ⩶ᔢॅ e᮹ šĥෝ ᇥᕾ⦹۵äᯕ݅
Fig. 3. overlay analysis of the roads(slope, aspect, elevation) Fig. 2. spacial analysis of the roads(aspect, elevation)
Table 1. The results of the overlay analysis
Table 3. Assessment factors of vulnerable areas
+4

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