The National
Green Hydrogen Strategy of Chile
June, 2021
Korea – Chile Energy
Cooperation Webinar
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 2
Green hydrogen in Google Trends
Interest in this clean energy carrier has skyrocketed in the past 12 months
Source: Google Trends (2021).
Google searches for “green hydrogen” over time
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 3
Hydrogen in the press
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 4
>200
Projects
>30
Countries have published a hydrogen strategy/roadmap
Renewed momentum
Source: Hydrogen Council 2021.
Ministerio de Energía | 5
Countries that amount to more than 70% of global GDP already have a hydrogen strategy or roadmap
(*) Sara Aagesen: Secretaria de Estado de Energía / España Source: Bloomberg NEF.
Things are getting very competitive
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 6
Projects have sprung in Chile too
Blending into gas grids Forklifts
Clean energy & food
District heating
Bus transport for personel
Forestry trucks
Isolated grid
power
Small vessels
65
0 40 80 120
2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
MM tCO2e
Reference scenario
Carbon-neutral scenario
50%(65 MMtCO2e)50% (65 MMtCO2e)
130
65
Industry (25%)
Coal phase-out (13%)
Energy efficiency(7%) Additional Forest Capture
Forest Capture
Sustainable Building(17%) Electromobility (17%)
Hydrogen (21%)
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 7
Green hydrogen will be key for Chile to reach
net-zero emissions by 2050
The cheapest green hydrogen on the planet
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 8
will unlock cost-effective emissions reductions…
Levelized cost of production by 2030
(USD/kg H
2)
*Does not consider conditioning, transport, storage nor distribution costs.
1.3 1,4
Middle
Chile East Australia EU USA
1,8 1,7
2,2
2,6
2,1
China
Source: McKinsey & Company.
Levelized cost of green hydrogen (USD/kg H
2)
Potential for a 160 Mton yearly green hydrogen production
*Center
North South
1.00 0.5 2.0
1.5 2.5
30 35 45
2020 25 40 2050
*Source: International Energy Agency.
Source: McKinsey & Company.
1.2 1.1 1.3
1.5 1.8
2.6
2.0
1.7 1.4
1.3 1.2
1.1 1.1
1.0 1.1
0.9 1.0 0.8
2020 analysis
2021 analysis update shows greater promise
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 9
Levelized cost of production by 2030
(USD/kg H
2)
*Does not consider conditioning, transport, storage nor distribution costs.
0.95 1.05
Middle
Chile East Australia EU USA
1.3 1.2
1.5
1.8
1.4
China
Source: McKinsey & Company.
Levelized cost of green hydrogen (USD/kg H
2)
Potential for a 160 Mton yearly green hydrogen production
**Source: International Energy Agency.
Source: McKinsey & Company.
25 02020
30 1.0
35 40 45 2050
0.5 1.5
2.0 1.6-1.8
Center
North South
1.2-1.4
1.1-1.2
1.0-1.1 0.9-1.0 0.8-0.9 1.2-1.4
1.1-1.2
0.8-0.9 0.9-1.0
0.75-0.85 0.8-0.9
0.7-0.8 0.75-0.85
0.65-0.7 0.7-0.8 0.95-1.05
0.95-1.05
for competitive green hydrogen production in Chile
Large-scale export of green products will be enabled
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 10
Cost of liquid H
2at port of destination, 2030
(USD/kg H
2)
(Source: McKinsey & Co)
Chile to Korea/Japan
Chile to US Australia to
Korea/Japan Russia to EU
Norway to EU
Middle East to US
Middle East to EU
Distribution Production
1.0 1.7
1.2
1.3 2.0
0.9
2.7 2.5
Shipping Liquefaction
0.6 0.6
2.2
1.3
Renewable energy carriers being considered by
developers and investors
Liquid hydrogen
Green copper and other green exports
Green ammonia
Green methanol / eFuels
LH2
Cu NH3
CH3OH
Projection of Chilean markets for green hydrogen and its derivatives (BUSD)
3
11 5 16 19 24
7
8
9
1
25
16
23
28
33 CAGR +15%
Associated renewable capacity (GW)
2045
2025 2030 2035 2040 2050
5-8 40 145 200 250 300
Source: McKinsey & Company.
Domestic applications Exports & maritime fuels
Cumulative necessary investment (BUSD)
8 45 150 220 270 330
Clean industry of the scale of our mining sector
A unique opportunity
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 6
Our ambition
BUSD/year 2.5 25
<1.5 GW USD/kg
destination for Top green hydrogen
investment in
LATAM Electrolysis capacity operating and under
development
Production in at least 2 hydrogen
valleys in Chile
BUSD 5 200
kton/year GW 5
The cheapest green hydrogen on the
planet Leaders in
export of green hydrogen and
derivatives
Leaders in production of green hydrogen
via electrolysis
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 7
Wave I: 2020-2025
Domestic ramp up and export preparation
1. Annual sales. Considers the full transition to hydrogen of the energy demand in each application.
Source: Based in analyses from McKinsey & Company.
Oil refineries Ammonia
Mining haul trucks (CAEX)
Heavy-duty trucking
Long-range buses
Blending into gas grids (up to 20%)
Application 1
2
3
4
5
6
Total potential market1
(BUSD by 2050) 2025 2030 2035 2040
2.0
Potential adoption curve to achieve 100%.
Targeted breakeven through action and start of piloting.
Estimated breakeven without additional action.
We will accelerate the deployment of green hydrogen in 6
prioritized
applications to build local supply chains and acquire
experience.
0.81.6 0.5
0.2
0.3
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 8
Waves II & III: 2025-2030 & 2030+
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 14
Scaling up to capture global markets
Source: McKinsey & Company.
Estimated market size for Chilean exports
(BUSD) Europe China Japan/Korea USA LATAM
2040
2025 2030 2035 2045 2050
2040
2025 2030 2035 2045 2050
Green ammonia exports
1
Green hydrogen and e-fuel
exports 2
0.4 2.5 11 16 19 24
Total size
0.4 2 4 5 5 5
0 0.5
7
11
14
19
PRODUCTION
PROJECT OWNER AND PARTNERS
H ID R O G EN P R O JE CT S H EE T
POWER TO METHANOL
PROJECT OWNER
PARTNER COMPANIES
OFFTAKE
MABANAFT is the trading division of Marquard & Bahls and concentrates on physical oil trading. They announced an MOU to the purchase and sale of up to 500 million liters of carbon neutral E- Fuels per year from the project’s commercial phases.
PROJECTIONS
Pilot Phase
2022 130.000
2024
70
million2026
2000 million
1st Phase 2nd Phase
Liters e-fuel per year Liters e-fuel per year Liters e-fuel per year
Wind
power Green
hydrogen E-Methanol E-Fuel Applications
LOCATION
Pilot phase is currently under evaluation by the Environmental
Evaluation Service.
Pilot operation is expected for 2022.
38 million USD
Total investment Pilot phase
STATUS
Magallanes Region Siemens received a grant of 8 million euros for the
project from the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Energy.
PORSCHE will start with an initial investment of 20 million euros and is planning to use the E- Fuels from Chile in Porsche’s motorsport fleet, at Porsche Experience Centers and, later, in series production sports cars.
Chile
Germany CO2captured
from the air
(*) All thecontentof this sheet has been obtained from the official websites of the partners involved in the project and from the Chilean Environmental Evaluation Service.
SIEMENS
ENERGY : Co-developer, partner, and technology provider.
ENEL : Renewable power developer and supplier.
ENAP : Chilean National Oil company. Transport, storage, and port service and infrastructure provider.
PORSCHE : Investor and Offtaker.
Haru Oni is expected to yield the world’s first integrated, commercial, industrial-scale plant for making synthetic climate-neutral fuels (E- Fuels)
Wind power is used to split water obtained from well through an electrolysis process, obtaining oxygen and hydrogen. The hydrogen is combined with captured carbon dioxide to produce synthetic methanol. Finally, part of the methanol is then converted into synthetic gasoline, termed by the project developer as E-Fuel.
Well water
HOW IT WORKS
POWER TO LIQUIDS
HARU ONI PROJECT
HIF is an SPV owned by
We have prioritized 4 lines of action to execute this National Green Hydrogen Strategy
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 16
Regulation and
permits Finance and incentives Domestic market and international
partnerships
Local value
1 2 3 4
International demand & investment | 3 work streams for 2021
MINISTERIO DE ENERGÍA | 17
Companies Government
Goals
Sign green hydrogen “Government- to-government” agreements to foster
knowledge and business
Facilitate deal making between project developers and investors with
offtakers and new partners
Enabling organizations
• Foreign Affairs Ministry
• Embassies
• Ministry of
Energy/Economy/Trade in other countries
• ProChile / InvestChile
• Hydrogen associations1
• Companies w/international reach2
Attract new sources of finance to the Chilean clean energy ecosystem, especially concessional debt and VC
Financing Partners
Country Focus
1. E.g. Hydrogen Council 2. E.g. BCG, McKinsey 3. May also consider interactions with key industry players (e.g. lead electrolyzer developers)
• Embassies
• ProChile
• InvestChile
• Investment funds
• Development banks
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